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Newbie Mafia 2! [Mafia Win!]

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Echo
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anonymous_old

Echo wrote:

tbh if strager had said something like "I'm just curious to know about the rules around the doctor and how protection works" I wouldn't have had anything to go on, since that would only lead to WIFOM thinking.
Well, I don't ask questions like that, really. I try to be a little more specific in my questions than "how does the Doctor work exactly?" If I had asked the question you suggest I would probably get an answer similar to what the PM states and not what I wanted to know. But you're right, the "claim" wouldn't be discovered and maybe I would have been better protected (because I don't have to worry about the Mafia trying to kill me because they don't know I am the doctor).

Olinard, are you back yet? It's been more than two hours since you said "brb." ;P

EDIT: Echo, what is WIFOM thinking? xD Sounds like "superhypothetical" thinking.
Echo
http://www.mafiascum.net/wiki/index.php ... ront_Of_Me

I thought I'd linked that before :/

Basically it's what you do in your early posts.

"if adam was mafia then [something] BUT if adam is townie then [something] which means he must be mafia if he did it but then that makes him townie because he's smart enough to know it makes him look townie, which means he's actualy mafia, which makes him townie, which makes him mafia etc."
Olinad

strager wrote:

Echo wrote:

tbh if strager had said something like "I'm just curious to know about the rules around the doctor and how protection works" I wouldn't have had anything to go on, since that would only lead to WIFOM thinking.
Well, I don't ask questions like that, really. I try to be a little more specific in my questions than "how does the Doctor work exactly?" If I had asked the question you suggest I would probably get an answer similar to what the PM states and not what I wanted to know. But you're right, the "claim" wouldn't be discovered and maybe I would have been better protected (because I don't have to worry about the Mafia trying to kill me because they don't know I am the doctor).

Olinard, are you back yet? It's been more than two hours since you said "brb." ;P

EDIT: Echo, what is WIFOM thinking? xD Sounds like "superhypothetical" thinking.
lol UR right, but I was busy XD

I really dunno who to vote... mmh...
anonymous_old

Echo wrote:

http://www.mafiascum.net/wiki/index.php?title=Wine_In_Front_Of_Me

I thought I'd linked that before :/

Basically it's what you do in your early posts.

"if adam was mafia then [something] BUT if adam is townie then [something] which means he must be mafia if he did it but then that makes him townie because he's smart enough to know it makes him look townie, which means he's actualy mafia, which makes him townie, which makes him mafia etc."
By "you" you mean the not me "you"?

And thanks.

/me stabs Olinad into voting.
Echo
By "you" I mean the second person pronoun (ie. you, strager), and not the generic "you"
Olinad
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anonymous_old
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anonymous_old

Echo wrote:

By "you" I mean the second person pronoun (ie. you, strager), and not the generic "you"
Article says:

Article wrote:

In Mafia, WIFOM arguments are often a Scum tactic used to distract the Town.
No wonder you were super-suspicious of me. =S However that paragraph talks about after a Night kill so I'm not sure if that really is your reason or if you just don't like my choices about adam.

Then again I pointed out some circular reasoning in your own argument and you didn't comment on it.
adam2046
...Why aren't you voting yourself then SFG?
anonymous_old

adam2046 wrote:

...Why aren't you voting yourself then SFG?
Or just leave a no-vote?

You don't have to vote do you?
Yuukari-Banteki
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adam2046
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Yuukari-Banteki
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adam2046
So you do want to get me lynched?
You are still mad at me.
anonymous_old

adam2046 wrote:

So you do want to get me lynched?
You are still mad at me.
Yeah, SFG seems to be doing more than random voting here.
adam2046
Don't you try and allay (^_~) suspicion from yourself by pointing out her.
Echo
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adam2046
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anonymous_old

adam2046 wrote:

I wont be arounf for a little while, if anyone wants to lynch poor little defensless me (SFG) please don't.
You'll make me cryyyyyy T.T

adam2046 wrote:

Don't you try and allay (^_~) suspicion from yourself by pointing out her.
wat
Yuukari-Banteki
well i suppose i am a bit suspicious because when you were mafia last game i couldnt tell that you were at ALL. i think it might have been nardi that pointed a FOS at adam or maybe the FOS wa-oh fuck it let me go find the post

yeah 0_o pointed a FOS at adam and nardi and i chose adam.

also im lol'ing about how you guys are trying to pick apart logic that doesn't exist @_@ also im sick of vote-hopping which is why i havent changed it
adam2046
Hey, I'm not the one claiming doctor.
Yuukari-Banteki
were you not listening when i said that the reason i dont want strager lynched is that B/C HE CLAIMED DOCTOR i dont want to risk lynching an aux on day 1
adam2046
That was @ strager not you, you ninja'd me.
anonymous_old

adam2046 wrote:

Hey, I'm not the one claiming doctor.

adam2046 wrote:

Don't you try and allay (^_~) suspicion from yourself by pointing out her.
wat

EDIT: Ignore this (see adam's last post =X).
adam2046
I don't get it...
Echo
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anonymous_old

adam2046 wrote:

I don't get it...

Echo wrote:

Neither do I.

revote strager
Are you two referring to my wat post? If so I'll explain.

First he says "don't kill me, SFG" (in more words) then accuses me of "pointing out her" as a way to "allay suspicion from me." That is, he did what he told me not to do.

The second wat post was a mistake; I was being stupid then. xD
adam2046
Ok, you can kill me now (no don't) didn't take as long as I expected.
Yuukari-Banteki
Echo, why are you voting for strager after specifically stating that Day 1 was a bad time to lynch an important aux claim?
anonymous_old

Saturos-fangirl wrote:

Echo, why are you voting for strager after specifically stating that Day 1 was a bad time to lynch an important aux claim?
Read part one of my monster post (link).
Yuukari-Banteki
no, i get that he suspects that you arent doctor but not why hes violating a "basic principle" he set out in a different mafia game. THAT is what i want him to explain.
adam2046
In my mind all Echo was really doing was hinting to to strager that if he was the real doctor he should unclaim or not claim at all, because strager has continued I think Echo may have come to the conclusion that strager is a wolf.

...At least that's my analysis of the situation.
anonymous_old

adam2046 wrote:

In my mind all Echo was really doing was hinting to to strager that if he was the real doctor he should unclaim or not claim at all, because strager has continued I think Echo may have come to the conclusion that strager is a wolf.

...At least that's my analysis of the situation.
I didn't get that at all from Echo. =X

But the deed is done and I'm not going back on my word.
anonymous_old
I have these suspicion percentages (0 - definitely Townie; 100 - definitely Mafia; 50 - undecided):
adam - 40%
BagelBob - 40%
nadi - 40%
SFG - 40%
Olinad - 50%
Derekku - 60%
0_o - 65%
Echo - 100%

These are estimates of course but shows my relative suspicions for everyone.

Yes, I am 100% sure Echo is a Mafia.
0_o
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Echo

strager wrote:

These are estimates of course but shows my relative suspicions for everyone.
So everyone is 40% mafia.

strager wrote:

Yes, I am 100% sure Echo is a Mafia.
Lynch me~!

Saturos-fangirl wrote:

Echo, why are you voting for strager after specifically stating that Day 1 was a bad time to lynch an important aux claim?
Basically what adam said - I'm pretty sure that strager is not doctor, which is why I'm voting him.
anonymous_old

0_o wrote:

OK, could you PLEASE explain why I am the second most suspicious person for BELIEVING and DEFENDING you? It seems like if you were the doctor then you wouldn't find me wanting to keep you alive so much suspicious...
Right. =X

But that doesn't matter now because I'm more concerned about getting a known Mafia lynched.

My opinions will likely change as more things come about.

Echo wrote:

strager wrote:

These are estimates of course but shows my relative suspicions for everyone.
So everyone is 40% mafia.
What?

Echo wrote:

strager wrote:

Yes, I am 100% sure Echo is a Mafia.
Lynch me~!
I'll ignore that, just as I ignored adam's.

Echo wrote:

Saturos-fangirl wrote:

Echo, why are you voting for strager after specifically stating that Day 1 was a bad time to lynch an important aux claim?
Basically what adam said - I'm pretty sure that strager is not doctor, which is why I'm voting him.
But you have to assume I am a Mafia otherwise you'd be killing a Townie. (Just to mention.)
anonymous_old
I have decided to do something I said I wouldn't do.

Unvote
Echo

strager wrote:

But you have to assume I am a Mafia otherwise you'd be killing a Townie. (Just to mention.)
More backwards trickiness from strager.

My thinking leads me to believe you're mafia which THEN results in my lynch vote.

You're saying I'm voting to lynch you which THEN makes me try to push the idea you're mafia? o.O
Derekku
WIFOM WIFOM WIFOM WIFOM

*head is spinning*
anonymous_old
Actually when proofreading this I noticed you may have gotten me wrong on the sequence of events.

Actually when proofreading this I noticed I was compeletely misunderstanding your statement.

Actually I think I'll just remove that part about me trying to make you understand based of my own misunderstandings of what you misunderstand.

ANYWAY, it's gone now and here's what I really need to say.

Echo wrote:

My thinking leads me to believe you're mafia which THEN results in my lynch vote.

You're saying I'm voting to lynch you which THEN makes me try to push the idea you're mafia? o.O
No I'm not saying that. I meant that your statement:

Echo wrote:

I'm pretty sure that strager is not doctor, which is why I'm voting him.
Meant "I'm pretty sure strager is a Mafia, which is why I'm voting for him."

----------

I realized now that when I had four players voting for me, no one jumped on the bandwagon for the lynch. This means one of these:

Both Mafia were on the bandwagon already.
I am a Mafia and the other Mafia may or may not have been on the bandwagon. If he was, he would have certainly jumped off at L-1 and probably at L-2.
One or no Mafia were on the bandwagon and the remaining Mafia could not vote to lynch in time.

I am of course striking off the second and am thinking the first is more likely than the third.
anonymous_old

Derekku Chan wrote:

WIFOM WIFOM WIFOM WIFOM

*head is spinning*
I like it when I run unicow's puffy balls all over my face.
Derekku

strager wrote:

Derekku Chan wrote:

WIFOM WIFOM WIFOM WIFOM

*head is spinning*
I like it when I run unicow's puffy balls all over my face.
I bet you do. :> Also you said this 25 minutes too early. I JUST got to that part. XP

[/offtopic]
anonymous_old
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adam2046
ok...
So strager you're almost certain I'm human, so you stuck me at 40% with BagelBob?
Echo
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anonymous_old

adam2046 wrote:

ok...
So strager you're almost certain I'm human, so you stuck me at 40% with BagelBob?
It was more of a relative scale than an absolute scale. 40% is more like, "meh, he's acting more of a Townie than a Mafia."

Echo wrote:

strager wrote:

I realized now that when I had four players voting for me, no one jumped on the bandwagon for the lynch. This means one of these:

Both Mafia were on the bandwagon already.
I am a Mafia and the other Mafia may or may not have been on the bandwagon. If he was, he would have certainly jumped off at L-1 and probably at L-2.
One or no Mafia were on the bandwagon and the remaining Mafia could not vote to lynch in time.

I am of course striking off the second and am thinking the first is more likely than the third.
I never ever get the point of listing out all the possibilities. Well of course it's one of the three.

Now, if you list only two out of three, for example, and say why the third can't be possible, with evidence, then that's a totally different story.
I'm basically thinking aloud and leaving only the first and third option open. (It was also like 03:19 so I was pretty wonky then.)

In the first case I deduce one of these to be a Mafia: adam, SFG, nardi
In the third case I deduce these are probably NOT Mafia (because they didn't jump on the bandwagon): Derekku, 0_o

For the first case it seems as if adam's vote was random and SFG's vote was only somewhat random, as was nardi's. So my suspicions for the latter two are above my suspicions for adam. From that I really can't say much more though.

For the third case, 0_o seems to be really trying to defend me which either means he's deceitful (and will kill me at night) or genuinely trying to help the town. I'm not foolish enough to denounce the former but based on my observation above he may be a Townie more than a Mafia.
I really don't know what to think of Derekku because he hasn't been doing much from what I can see, really. He could be bad at analysis, not have information to discuss, or is smart enough not to talk because he may leak information. So ... not really sure.

Interestingly this is almost opposite of my previous suspicion list. I believe my thinking then was leaning toward the third case but I didn't reference posts or anything when I wrote it, so it was purely out of feeling.

So I don't know what I should believe. My gut, or my reasoning? Probably my reasoning. (My gut feelings seem to have gotten me burned before, a la Echo's hate of my adam-is-a-Townie conclusion.)
Echo

strager wrote:

For the first case it seems as if adam's vote was random
Where does it seem random?

strager wrote:

and SFG's vote was only somewhat random
Where does it seem random?

strager wrote:

as was nardi's.
Where does it seem random?

strager wrote:

0_o seems to be really trying to defend me which either means he's deceitful
Where does it seem deceitful?

strager wrote:

or genuinely trying to help the town.
Where does he seem helpful?

strager wrote:

Probably my reasoning.
The problem, as you adequately put it, is that you "didn't reference posts or anything when I wrote it, so it was purely out of feeling." Feelings can't prove anything.
anonymous_old

Echo wrote:

strager wrote:

For the first case it seems as if adam's vote was random
Where does it seem random?

strager wrote:

and SFG's vote was only somewhat random
Where does it seem random?

strager wrote:

as was nardi's.
Where does it seem random?
"I'll just vote for whoever seems the most suspicious without any evidence."

Echo wrote:

strager wrote:

0_o seems to be really trying to defend me which either means he's deceitful
Where does it seem deceitful?
Get on my good side then eventually kill me at night.

Echo wrote:

strager wrote:

or genuinely trying to help the town.
Where does he seem helpful?
Defend the Doctor.

Echo wrote:

strager wrote:

Probably my reasoning.
The problem, as you adequately put it, is that you "didn't reference posts or anything when I wrote it, so it was purely out of feeling." Feelings can't prove anything.
You're supporting what I said about the random votes.

And yes, I do realize I made a mistake in posting that list. Now I posted a pseudolist with some reasoning.
Topic Starter
LadySuburu
Votecount 4:

strager - 3 (adam, nardi, Echo)
adam - 2 (0_o, SFG)
SFG - 1 (BagelBob)

Not voting: 3 - (Olinad, Derekku, Strager)
0_o
*sigh*

I'm starting to tldr this Echo-strager exchange, it just keeps going and circles and it just feels like it isn't getting anywhere.

Can the people who have not voted please hurry up and make a decision, this is just getting ridiculous...

Sorry if I sound impatient, but honestly, I am :P
BagelBob_old

strager wrote:

I have these suspicion percentages (0 - definitely Townie; 100 - definitely Mafia; 50 - undecided):
adam - 40%
BagelBob - 40%
nadi - 40%
SFG - 40%
Olinad - 50%
Derekku - 60%
0_o - 65%
Echo - 100%

These are estimates of course but shows my relative suspicions for everyone.

Yes, I am 100% sure Echo is a Mafia.
All of this is completely baseless. Could you provide any reasoning at all for these numbers? I realize you say later that you changed your mind, but at this time, what made you choose these numbers? Do you have any reasons for Echo being 100% mafia? Why are Derekku and 0_o above 50? Why are the rest of us above 50?



This post is full of nothings. First, you say you come to two realizations. Then, you don't post them, and say you'll remove them from your post. Next, you quote Echo and restate his post. In your last section, you present a logical fallacy known as false dichotomy. Those are not the only options, there could have been one voting for you and mafia could have any reasons for voting or not voting for you. With this and all your short posts, it's like your posting without saying anything.



Can I assume from This post that you no longer consider Echo a mafia member? In addition, did you mean that adam, SFG, and nardii's votes looked like bandwagon votes? You state that you think 0_o and Derekuu were not on the bandwagon, but then you throw junk about random voting. Adam's vote started out random, but he kept posting and saying that he was reading the thread and agreed with Echo's logic.
BagelBob_old
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adam2046
SFG is not voting me because of 0_o, I do not find it said anywhere.
anonymous_old

BagelBob wrote:

strager wrote:

I have these suspicion percentages (0 - definitely Townie; 100 - definitely Mafia; 50 - undecided):
adam - 40%
BagelBob - 40%
nadi - 40%
SFG - 40%
Olinad - 50%
Derekku - 60%
0_o - 65%
Echo - 100%

These are estimates of course but shows my relative suspicions for everyone.

Yes, I am 100% sure Echo is a Mafia.
All of this is completely baseless. Could you provide any reasoning at all for these numbers? I realize you say later that you changed your mind, but at this time, what made you choose these numbers? Do you have any reasons for Echo being 100% mafia? Why are Derekku and 0_o above 50? Why are the rest of us above 50?
The numbers were just to state relative suspicions. nardi is less suspicious than 0_o, for example. I used numbers instead of a simple list to group similarly suspicious people together (the 40%'s) and to point out Echo as a Mafia more than just "most suspicious." Again, looking back it was a pretty dumb thing to do.

BagelBob wrote:

Do you have any reasons for Echo being 100% mafia?
See my pseudo-raging (link).

BagelBob wrote:

This post is full of nothings. First, you say you come to two realizations. Then, you don't post them, and say you'll remove them from your post.
Actually those first three lines were saying "I totally misread your post so I deleted what I had here before." I thought he was asking me how he voted for me, which kinda confused me so I came back to it later then realized what he meant.

I could have left those three lines out, but it was so late I wasn't thinking too strait (see all my late-night posts). I should stop posting so late. x_x

BagelBob wrote:

Next, you quote Echo and restate his post.
Yes, I was explaining why I said something, because Echo asked for an explanation (Echo's quote expanded for clarification):

strager wrote:

Echo wrote:

strager wrote:

But you have to assume I am a Mafia otherwise you'd be killing a Townie. (Just to mention.)
More backwards trickiness from strager.

My thinking leads me to believe you're mafia which THEN results in my lynch vote.

You're saying I'm voting to lynch you which THEN makes me try to push the idea you're mafia? o.O
No I'm not saying that. I meant that your statement:

Echo wrote:

I'm pretty sure that strager is not doctor, which is why I'm voting him.
Meant "I'm pretty sure strager is a Mafia, which is why I'm voting for him."

BagelBob wrote:

In your last section, you present a logical fallacy known as false dichotomy. Those are not the only options, there could have been one voting for you and mafia could have any reasons for voting or not voting for you. With this and all your short posts, it's like your posting without saying anything.
Ah, I had not even considered this. I would expect the Mafia to try and kill a Townie as soon as the chance arises. I don't see a reason why they wouldn't so it'd be nice if you could point at least one out.

BagelBob wrote:

Can I assume from This post that you no longer consider Echo a mafia member?
No, I already deduced Echo as a Mafia so you can squeeze that info in there if you want.

BagelBob wrote:

In addition, did you mean that adam, SFG, and nardii's votes looked like bandwagon votes?
All I meant to say there that one or two of adam, Echo, nardi, and SFG were bandwagonning as a Mafia, not all of them.

BagelBob wrote:

You state that you think 0_o and Derekuu were not on the bandwagon, but then you throw junk about random voting.
Where is this "junk about random voting?"

BagelBob wrote:

Adam's vote started out random, but he kept posting and saying that he was reading the thread and agreed with Echo's logic.
And this matters how? I already know this.

BagelBob wrote:

SFG, you've said you're going with adam since 0_o said he finds him suspicious. All I can find is that his gut says that. Are you satisfied lynching someone who you think is a townie?
I have to agree here; it's as if you're voting at random with "support" from another player. The number of votes on one's head shouldn't be used as a reason for voting.

EDIT:

adam2046 wrote:

SFG is not voting me because of 0_o, I do not find it said anywhere.
I just went with BagelBob on the above. I'll investigate myself.

EDIT: Here it is (link), at least what I think BagelBob is referring to.
BagelBob_old

adam2046 wrote:

SFG is not voting me because of 0_o, I do not find it said anywhere.

Saturos-fangirl wrote:

well i suppose i am a bit suspicious because when you were mafia last game i couldnt tell that you were at ALL. i think it might have been nardi that pointed a FOS at adam or maybe the FOS wa-oh fuck it let me go find the post

yeah 0_o pointed a FOS at adam and nardi and i chose adam.

also im lol'ing about how you guys are trying to pick apart logic that doesn't exist @_@ also im sick of vote-hopping which is why i havent changed it
kthx

EDIT: Didn't see page 18, looks like strager caught it
anonymous_old

LadySuburu wrote:

Not voting: 3 - (Olinad, Derekku, Strager)
*strager
adam2046
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0_o
tldr in bold, but it'd be nice if you read the details as well :P

Bagelbob wrote:

0_o, why are you in such a hurry? Is it because you were buddying with strager earlier?
Not sure how me being impatient and me defending strager are correlated...
And to answer your question I'm impatient because I've been sitting here reading Echo and strager go back and forth with loooong arguments for days and I feel like there hasn't been any progress. I'm getting bored; I just want to get the game moving.
You haven't posted much in the way of cases. In fact, your reason for voting adam, is it still your gut?
Now that WWG3 is over I can actually say this: IMO he's been acting similar to when he was in WWG3, and I knew he was a wolf then because I was a wolf myself ;)
Though now that I think about it, you could probably use the exact same logic against me... lol, well then :P
Oh well, I'm not confident enough to vote for Echo, and I feel like I don't have a case against anyone else, so yes, right now I guess it's mainly just my gut instincts against adam ^_^ if someone else happens to jump my radar then I will gladly change my vote, but right now he's just the only person I feel comfortable with voting for.
I'd like it if you could state your opinions on strager. Do you think that he is telling the truth about being the doctor?
Um, correct me if I'm wrong, but I'm pretty sure almost every post I've made so far has said my opinion on strager :P He isn't a zero on my suspicion-o-meter that's for sure, but I think the odds of him being the doctor are worth keeping him around at least for today.
If yes, do you think Echo is a mafia member?.
I can't say for sure he isn't mafia, but I feel like our differing opinions are based mainly on different interpretations of strager's posts, and again, I'm not gonna vote for someone just because they have a different opinion than me.
it looks to me like you're trying to stay out of the whole mess
I haven't posted lately because I've had nothing to say; we've hardly made any progress in the last few pages (until now), and I've already stated my opinions on the Echo-strager/adam issue several times over.

Anything else? :)
adam2046
Did you bother looking in the first Mafia thread?
Derekku
Both olinad and nardi have both pretty much contributed NOTHING to this topic's discussion.

BUT

nardi11011 wrote:

It's annoying that 90% of the posts in mafia/ww game threads are made when I'm either asleep or at school. Anyway, I vote strager as he seems the most suspicious to me and this game is confusing as hell compared to WWG.
he was quick to jump on the bangwagon and vote for strager without any reasoning or proof.

I'm not even counting that as a "random" vote because he hasn't even come back to say otherwise.

Vote: nardi.
anonymous_old

adam2046 wrote:

So you're no longer certain I'm human Strager, right?
I've stated this a while ago.

0_o wrote:

If yes, do you think Echo is a mafia member?.
I can't say for sure he isn't mafia
It looks like you're dodging the question there. Why?

Derekku Chan wrote:

Both olinad and nardi have both pretty much contributed NOTHING to this topic's discussion.

BUT

nardi11011 wrote:

It's annoying that 90% of the posts in mafia/ww game threads are made when I'm either asleep or at school. Anyway, I vote strager as he seems the most suspicious to me and this game is confusing as hell compared to WWG.
he was quick to jump on the bangwagon and vote for strager without any reasoning or proof.
What bangwagon? ;P

I have to agree but as a Mafia why would he do this at L-2 and not L-1? (I asked BagelBob this in my last "real" post.)

nardi11011 wrote:

I'm not even counting that as a "random" vote because he hasn't even come back to say otherwise.
Because no one accused it of not being a random vote? He was never attacked so he wouldn't defend himself. If he did defend himself in advanced that'd looks suspicious because it'd seem as if he had something to hide.

No one's random vote was explicitly denoted as a random vote by the voter, either.

So I don't really see your reasoning here Derekku.
adam2046
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BagelBob_old
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Derekku

strager wrote:

What bangwagon? ;P
By the time nardi voted for you, strager, two other people had voted for you. He seemed to only vote for you because you were the "most suspicious", which isn't a good reason imo.

strager wrote:

No one's random vote was explicitly denoted as a random vote by the voter, either.
I meant in the case that nardi's vote WAS a random vote, which I don't think it was, but I wanted to cover that ground ;)
adam2046
Derek missed the joke...
Derekku

adam2046 wrote:

The only person jumping strager's bangwagon is Derek.
On the bandwagon against strager? I've already stated many times that I believe strager isn't mafia. :/

If you meant the bandwagon that thinks strager is innocent, then yes, I'm on it, but so is like of us. >_>

So I really don't get what you meant.
adam2046
Derek is still missing the joke...
Derekku
=( It's late and you guys are making fun of me. D:

EDIT: Yeah, I'm not seeing it. *very tired tonight* Hint plz
BagelBob_old

strager wrote:

Derekku Chan wrote:

Both olinad and nardi have both pretty much contributed NOTHING to this topic's discussion.

BUT

nardi11011 wrote:

It's annoying that 90% of the posts in mafia/ww game threads are made when I'm either asleep or at school. Anyway, I vote strager as he seems the most suspicious to me and this game is confusing as hell compared to WWG.
he was quick to jump on the bangwagon and vote for strager without any reasoning or proof.
What bangwagon? ;P

I have to agree but as a Mafia why would he do this at L-2 and not L-1? (I asked BagelBob this in my last "real" post.)

nardi11011 wrote:

I'm not even counting that as a "random" vote because he hasn't even come back to say otherwise.
Because no one accused it of not being a random vote? He was never attacked so he wouldn't defend himself. If he did defend himself in advanced that'd looks suspicious because it'd seem as if he had something to hide.

No one's random vote was explicitly denoted as a random vote by the voter, either.

So I don't really see your reasoning here Derekku.
nardi's vote was not random because he stated he had a general idea and that strager seemed suspicious.
Your vote on Echo and 0_o's vote on adam were random, they have no base. strager's vote is a bandwagon vote, because he votes for the most popular guy without adding anything.
As for his timing, he did it when he did it. No one new jumped on after him.
As for "defending himself in advance" looking suspicious, that's exactly what you did when you claimed doctor.
Echo
In a single sentence:

What strager's been posting are plain facts (reiterating the obvious as explained by BagelBob in his third point), mostly baseless accusations (eg. this post right here, make sure you read previous/next post(s) for context), or blatant coverups of his contradictions (eg. most points in this post).

My vote holds until someone provides a convincing case for strager's behaviour.

That is all.

(edit: found some references)
0_o
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anonymous_old

Echo wrote:

In a single sentence:

What strager's been posting are plain facts (reiterating the obvious as explained by BagelBob in his third point), mostly baseless accusations (eg. this post right here, make sure you read previous/next post(s) for context), or blatant coverups of his contradictions (eg. most points in this post).

My vote holds until someone provides a convincing case for strager's behaviour.

That is all.

(edit: found some references)
I think you're actually supporting me by saying I don't know anything.
anonymous_old

Derekku Chan wrote:

=( It's late and you guys are making fun of me. D:

EDIT: Yeah, I'm not seeing it. *very tired tonight* Hint plz
Read what I quoted from you carefully, and read my response.
Yuukari-Banteki
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anonymous_old
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Yuukari-Banteki
*suppresses rage*

fine if you WANT to get lynched and be emo instead of helping the town and youre BOUND and DETERMINED to do so despite my attempts to save you, go the fuck ahead. I give up on saving you.

unvote
no vote
anonymous_old

Saturos-fangirl wrote:

*suppresses rage*

fine if you WANT to get lynched and be emo instead of helping the town and youre BOUND and DETERMINED to do so despite my attempts to save you, go the fuck ahead. I give up on saving you.

unvote
no vote
I'm not saying your vote is right or wrong. I'm just saying it's without real reason or justification, and it's better to have a convincing argument behind your vote.
Yuukari-Banteki
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anonymous_old

Saturos-fangirl wrote:

im not going to respond until i have cooled down cus right now, strager, your impossible "logic" is pissing me off SO much. This game has ceased to be fun for me when everyone instantly objects to every action i make. I thought my logic was clear-cut but you don't seem to be understanding it despite every attempt on my part to educate you. im completely sick of your idiocy.

maybe im overreacting a bit but i feel like im getting attacked every time i try to help. This is a game, not a war zone. I'll try again tomorrow i guess and see if things have improved then.
I'm really not trying to attack you. I'm just saying "you have no reason from what I see." I'm not demanding an explanation. I see where you are coming from but I don't see that as a real reason from my perspective. That's all.
Derekku

strager wrote:

Derekku Chan wrote:

=( It's late and you guys are making fun of me. D:

EDIT: Yeah, I'm not seeing it. *very tired tonight* Hint plz
Read what I quoted from you carefully, and read my response.
...

*facepalm*

Wow I really am tired tonight...

Also, a bangwagon sounds sexy~
anonymous_old
Votes thus far:

strager: Echo
0_o: adam
adam: strager
Echo: SFG
0_o: -
0_o: SFG
0_o: -
Echo: -
viewtopic.php?p=139863#p139863
SFG: strager
0_o: nardi
Echo: strager
nardi: strager
0_o: -
0_o: adam
Derekku: Echo
viewtopic.php?p=140697#p140697
Echo: -
SFG: -
SFG: Olinad
SFG: -
SFG: strager
SFG: -
SFG: adam
Derekku: -
viewtopic.php?p=141549#p141549
Echo: strager
strager: -
viewtopic.php?p=142229#p142229
Derekku: nardi
SFG: -

(I may have made a mistake or two. Please feel free to correct me.)
anonymous_old
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Yuukari-Banteki
what the fuck you yell at me for my vote and then you yell at me for not changing my vote and now youre yelling at me for changing my vote after you yelled at me for not changing my vote.

i really shouldnt have come back tonight...
anonymous_old
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0_o

strager wrote:

strager wrote:

Echo: SFG
0_o: -
0_o: SFG
0_o: -
Echo: -
Hmm.
I don't know what you are trying to get at here, but these votes were cast for kuwarudo because he was being annoying. I retracted my vote when he claimed townie right before quitting, and Echo retracted his in his next post for the obvious reason that he was replaced by someone who DOESN'T annoy him.
This really should have been obvious...
Echo
SFG's just voting for the person with the highest vote tally apart from me and strager. I don't see anything fishy about that.
adam2046
Neither do I...but it's still meeeeeeee ;_;
nardii
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anonymous_old

nardi11011 wrote:

One thing I don't get: why did strager reveal his role instead of just saying "I was looking at the PM in the OP and was just wondering"?
Because I don't like lying.

0_o wrote:

strager wrote:

strager wrote:

Echo: SFG
0_o: -
0_o: SFG
0_o: -
Echo: -
Hmm.
I don't know what you are trying to get at here, but these votes were cast for kuwarudo because he was being annoying. I retracted my vote when he claimed townie right before quitting, and Echo retracted his in his next post for the obvious reason that he was replaced by someone who DOESN'T annoy him.
This really should have been obvious...
Oh dear you're right. I completely forgot. x_x

Anyway I read somewhere that if the Town doesn't choose to lynch on the first game in a nine-player game with one Mafia the Town gets a statistical advantage, assuming completely random lynching and killing. I'll calculate how this would work with the current setup later.
Yuukari-Banteki

strager wrote:

Anyway I read somewhere that if the Town doesn't choose to lynch on the first game in a nine-player game with one Mafia the Town gets a statistical advantage, assuming completely random lynching and killing. I'll calculate how this would work with the current setup later.

strager wrote:

with one Mafia
read the OP again. There are two Mafia.
anonymous_old

Saturos-fangirl wrote:

strager wrote:

Anyway I read somewhere that if the Town doesn't choose to lynch on the first game in a nine-player game with one Mafia the Town gets a statistical advantage, assuming completely random lynching and killing. I'll calculate how this would work with the current setup later.

strager wrote:

with one Mafia
read the OP again. There are two Mafia.
Read my post again (bold added):

strager wrote:

Anyway I read somewhere that if the Town doesn't choose to lynch on the first game in a nine-player game with one Mafia the Town gets a statistical advantage, assuming completely random lynching and killing. I'll calculate how this would work with the current setup later.
Yuukari-Banteki
oh sorry i can't read. ^^U

bbl making dinnorz (yes, im making dinner at 3:44PM. Guests and such whoooooo)
Echo
You don't need to calculate anything, no lynch on day one is disadvantageous for town.
Yuukari-Banteki
also in retrospect it seems kinda stupid for us to, each Day, roll a n-sided die where n is the number of remaining players and lynch that person off, then expect the mafia to do the same and us to win. takes the entire point out of the game.
anonymous_old

Saturos-fangirl wrote:

also in retrospect it seems kinda stupid for us to, each Day, roll a n-sided die where n is the number of remaining players and lynch that person off, then expect the mafia to do the same and us to win. takes the entire point out of the game.
Of course such calculations ignore the Mafia or aux roles slipping up, but if the probability sways in favor of the Town by not lynching the first day there is likely a better chance of a Town win. (Note the use of maybies and perhapses.)
Yuukari-Banteki
if we don't lynch today, the mafia get a free kill. im starting to really wonder about you, strager.
anonymous_old
Here's what I get with my coding so far:
:!g++ -g mafia.cpp && ./a.out
Setup:
Mafia:
Normal: 2
Role blocker: 0
Town:
Normal: 9
Doctor: 0
Mafia wins 64.790765% of the time with lynch on Day 1
Mafia wins 78.437500% of the time with no lynch on Day 1
Still need to code the Doctor in and the Role Blocker too. Cop is ignored and I probably won't code him because he doesn't really do anything to sway the statistics except in claims and investigations and things, which are human factors.
anonymous_old
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