The numbers were just to state relative suspicions. nardi is less suspicious than 0_o, for example. I used numbers instead of a simple list to group similarly suspicious people together (the 40%'s) and to point out Echo as a Mafia more than just "most suspicious." Again, looking back it was a pretty dumb thing to do.BagelBob wrote:
All of this is completely baseless. Could you provide any reasoning at all for these numbers? I realize you say later that you changed your mind, but at this time, what made you choose these numbers? Do you have any reasons for Echo being 100% mafia? Why are Derekku and 0_o above 50? Why are the rest of us above 50?strager wrote:
I have these suspicion percentages (0 - definitely Townie; 100 - definitely Mafia; 50 - undecided):
adam - 40%
BagelBob - 40%
nadi - 40%
SFG - 40%
Olinad - 50%
Derekku - 60%
0_o - 65%
Echo - 100%
These are estimates of course but shows my relative suspicions for everyone.
Yes, I am 100% sure Echo is a Mafia.
See my pseudo-raging (link).BagelBob wrote:
Do you have any reasons for Echo being 100% mafia?
Actually those first three lines were saying "I totally misread your post so I deleted what I had here before." I thought he was asking me how he voted for me, which kinda confused me so I came back to it later then realized what he meant.BagelBob wrote:
This post is full of nothings. First, you say you come to two realizations. Then, you don't post them, and say you'll remove them from your post.
I could have left those three lines out, but it was so late I wasn't thinking too strait (see all my late-night posts). I should stop posting so late. x_x
Yes, I was explaining why I said something, because Echo asked for an explanation (Echo's quote expanded for clarification):BagelBob wrote:
Next, you quote Echo and restate his post.
strager wrote:
No I'm not saying that. I meant that your statement:Echo wrote:
More backwards trickiness from strager.strager wrote:
But you have to assume I am a Mafia otherwise you'd be killing a Townie. (Just to mention.)
My thinking leads me to believe you're mafia which THEN results in my lynch vote.
You're saying I'm voting to lynch you which THEN makes me try to push the idea you're mafia? o.OMeant "I'm pretty sure strager is a Mafia, which is why I'm voting for him."Echo wrote:
I'm pretty sure that strager is not doctor, which is why I'm voting him.
Ah, I had not even considered this. I would expect the Mafia to try and kill a Townie as soon as the chance arises. I don't see a reason why they wouldn't so it'd be nice if you could point at least one out.BagelBob wrote:
In your last section, you present a logical fallacy known as false dichotomy. Those are not the only options, there could have been one voting for you and mafia could have any reasons for voting or not voting for you. With this and all your short posts, it's like your posting without saying anything.
No, I already deduced Echo as a Mafia so you can squeeze that info in there if you want.BagelBob wrote:
Can I assume from This post that you no longer consider Echo a mafia member?
All I meant to say there that one or two of adam, Echo, nardi, and SFG were bandwagonning as a Mafia, not all of them.BagelBob wrote:
In addition, did you mean that adam, SFG, and nardii's votes looked like bandwagon votes?
Where is this "junk about random voting?"BagelBob wrote:
You state that you think 0_o and Derekuu were not on the bandwagon, but then you throw junk about random voting.
And this matters how? I already know this.BagelBob wrote:
Adam's vote started out random, but he kept posting and saying that he was reading the thread and agreed with Echo's logic.
I have to agree here; it's as if you're voting at random with "support" from another player. The number of votes on one's head shouldn't be used as a reason for voting.BagelBob wrote:
SFG, you've said you're going with adam since 0_o said he finds him suspicious. All I can find is that his gut says that. Are you satisfied lynching someone who you think is a townie?
EDIT:
I just went with BagelBob on the above. I'll investigate myself.adam2046 wrote:
SFG is not voting me because of 0_o, I do not find it said anywhere.
EDIT: Here it is (link), at least what I think BagelBob is referring to.