Oh i msread corrected as "current".
I still would like to know what made you change your mind on me.
I still would like to know what made you change your mind on me.
Ok so as scum Hika would basically have no reason to commit to a counter claim on your bullet proof.rEdo wrote:
Let me corrent myself: {Jess, beeboy, {Hika | abraker}}. I just reminded myself of the fact that beeboy didn't even question Hika's counterclaim to me and voted me right off the bat.rEdo wrote:
I see the scumteam in {Jess, beeboy, {Frostings | abraker}}. Jess is put in this set for complete safety, to be honest.
I would argue my reads are more then just factual analysis but meh.rEdo wrote:
[*]beeboy. For some reason most people (myself included) assumed from the beginning of the game that beeboy is town. I've seen this happen way too many times (especially in the Hoenn Mafia) - a scum player posts nothing but accurate analysis at beginning of the day 1 and woo, he gets towncred for that. I have more reasons to believe he's scum than to believe he's town.[/list]
.
I'm 90% sure Jess is gonna flip town due to her going emotional and voting herself. That's not what I've seen earlier, and I don't think she would do that.Hika wrote:
Jess on L-1 right?
I can hammer if everyone's ready to end the day in a few hours.
I did something like that back on Sunday.B1rd wrote:
Also Sakura, do you actually think Hika is scum? Because if you have a strong case, that's all well and good. But if you're just going to relentlessly pursue a small chance that she's scum when most others don't think so, I feel like that's just gonna break up the cohesion of town, especially when you're one of the most conftown at the moment and could take a strong leading role in scumhunting.
Dawnsday and rEdo were questioning my vote, but what prompted me to explain it was when he got to L-1abraker wrote:
I never got an answer to this iircabraker wrote:
must have missed something. Who was questioning you?
I believe i've said several times that Effort =/= TownFrostings wrote:
Also I briefly skimmed over the posts again
When I townread abraker over his tryhard diagrams, in retrospect it could actually be an easy way to convince others to vote the wrong people if town is dumb like me
I'll admit I haven't followed your analysis 100%, but from my point of view it just seems like it'd be unlikely for scum to do such a thing and cause a scene like Hika did. Scum tend to be more cautious and think out their moves, so I think it's unlikely that they'd do something like that.Sakura wrote:
I did something like that back on Sunday.
But all people said is that her "townslip" made it impossible for her to be scum.
At the top of that post also showed a potential "scumslip" in the form of CCing as Mafia Goon.
I'm not 100% sure on her being scum, if anything it's more like... 50-60%, what i do know is that players always do something for a reason, whether the reason is subconcious or concious could heavily lead to alignment relevant information, which is why i still wonder "why did she CC as VT, when there wasn't a VT on either of the row or the column".
The same could be said about her constant rejecting of PRs using their abilities on her, and her false meta call that was later invalidated anyway before anyone investigated it in depth.
I can't really see it happening. I believe she just thought that she's the vanilla townie and that it counter-claims me. A flaw in logic.Sakura wrote:
What do you think of my theory that she saw Mafia Goon on the vertical line and thought it'd counterclaim you? Makes more sense to me since there's no VT on either line.
That's not good enough of a reason for me. You haven't stayed why he's stupid, you just went along with everything people said beforehand.abraker wrote:
I just did?rEdo wrote:
You have never explained why your vote on Dawnsday stayed on him, thoughOr are you referring to me saying anything back then and not now?abraker wrote:
I just chose my vote at random on day 1 based on judgement on an avatar and remained on Dawn because his stupidity mislead everyone including me to vote for him.
Yes, I know. My point here was that you knew Hika's doing a townie move and that I got hit tonight, and you knew I survived because of my PR. So hey, since you know I'm conftown, let's use that counterclaim thing to actually start a wagon on me not only to get me lynched, but perhaps Hika on the following day as well.beeboy123 wrote:
Ok so as scum Hika would basically have no reason to commit to a counter claim on your bullet proof.
It isn't like you are a full bullet proof or a cop with a doctor still alive (literally anything that would be worth dying to get lynched) scum could literally just kill you N2 if you are a bullet proof and there is nothing anyone could do about it so I just made the assumption that Hika was the town in the situation in addition to the fact she sort of sorted some kind of PR.
Was I correct, no but to say I didn't question it when in my mind there was literally nothing to question is kinda silly.
Well, since you know who's town and scum. If you were a vanilla townie, could you get any other source for your reads than factual analysis?beeboy123 wrote:
I would argue my reads are more then just factual analysis but meh.
Play-safe card. Nice. If Jess gets lynched today and flips town, you're literally confscum to me.beeboy123 wrote:
vote: jess
anyway I said I would do this so ima do this.
rEdo wrote:
Unfortunately I have to agree with Sakura on the fact that Jess' alignment is something we literally can't solve in any other way than lynching her. Even though like literally 3 people (myself included) said she's about to flip town.
That self-vote thing triggered me to thinking she's frustrated that we scumread her so she self-voted.Sakura wrote:
What im interested in is knowing what makes you say she's gonna flip town.
Do you have reasons to believe she wouldnt do this as scum?rEdo wrote:
That self-vote thing triggered me to thinking she's frustrated that we scumread her so she self-voted.Sakura wrote:
What im interested in is knowing what makes you say she's gonna flip town.
I don't want to be mean, but to be honest I don't believe she's intelligent enough to pull that off xdSakura wrote:
Do you have reasons to believe she wouldnt do this as scum?
Everything is always a possibility, I just think the chances are very unlikely. And my read on him comes entirely from Experience, specially coz i've been in his crosshairs several times in the past on games.B1rd wrote:
While we do have time, why do you two have a town read on Frostings? I had a scum read on him before, and I haven't analysed frosty's recent posts, but him being scum is still a possibility IMO.
Your defence of him including experience is starting to be a weak arguements for me. More the reason a fellow scum is protecting scum. Like you seem too defensive of him.Sakura wrote:
Everything is always a possibility, I just think the chances are very unlikely. And my read on him comes entirely from Experience, specially coz i've been in his crosshairs several times in the past on games.B1rd wrote:
While we do have time, why do you two have a town read on Frostings? I had a scum read on him before, and I haven't analysed frosty's recent posts, but him being scum is still a possibility IMO.
We've been on your watch list for a while. What's new?abraker wrote:
If Jess flips town, you are and Frosty will be in my watch list
A subtle mentioning?abraker wrote:
To be clear, it's as if the subtle mentioning of "Frosty might be scum" sets off a "I know he's not from experience" trigger
B1rd wrote:
While we do have time, why do you two have a town read on Frostings? I had a scum read on him before, and I haven't analysed frosty's recent posts, but him being scum is still a possibility IMO.
Lol. I read that in the thread you linked and I was thinking of quoting it myself.Sakura wrote:
Literally the only reason for people to say she's town is
"OMG SHE SELF VOTED SHE'S SO TOTES FRUSTRATED AND TOWN"
I know the deal trust me, it's a strategy i used to use too, and no it shouldn't be encouraged.
You're saying i went and said that he's town from experience at the lightest subtle suspicion.abraker wrote:
"Subtle"
I will admit, you can now see how I can easily dismiss things as something lesser and prioritize things that are that align with the pile of coincidences I have found. To be clear though coincidence =/= fact, but it is my digging grounds for facts
My theory right now is Frosty+Sakura scum. My agenda right now is to find any coincidences that align with that theory and hopefully stumble upon a fact that may prove or disprove this theory.Sakura wrote:
You're saying i went and said that he's town from experience at the lightest subtle suspicion.abraker wrote:
"Subtle"
I will admit, you can now see how I can easily dismiss things as something lesser and prioritize things that are that align with the pile of coincidences I have found. To be clear though coincidence =/= fact, but it is my digging grounds for facts
But that's not true, I was asked a direct question.
Hey now... Usually I have a pretty good idea what's going onSakura wrote:
idk, i feel like he'd be like more lost and confused instead of straightforward if he was scum.
Frostings wrote:
Hello
I don't know if I'm reading this correctly, but it seems like abraker and B1rd are suspicious of me because they think I have some secret motive or psychology with my votes and reads, but I can't even understand your explanations for my actions let alone come up with them![]()
Hika reminds me of Irre in I think the Tree house game where he acted like he had no idea what was going on. I don't really believe her when she says the setup is confusing, and since Dawn flipped town I think she's still pretty suspicious. The VT claim doesn't help at all.. It looks like she's trying to rack up town points by claiming early, when we already know everybody who's town is VT after rEdo's claim
Jess.. uhhh in the back of my mind I had a feeling she would lynch early. I should have unvoted to get a claim at least but she hammered earlier than I expected. Her action isn't really a tell, but I would be content with a PL to save us headache later
As for the others, I'll have to read the posts again, I just had a quick skim over all the posts
Long story short i have a hard time seeing Frosty pulling this off as scum.Frostings wrote:
So... Hika thought there was only one VT in the game? Even after Tracker got flipped?
... It's actually a pretty convincing townslip, how can you even make this up as scum
If anything im more surprised Hika's scumreading him after this than if anyone else is.Frostings wrote:
I actually don't think Hika could make this up as scum
it doesn't really make sense to claim VT as scum on Day 1 and then push that onto Day 2 to try to "CC" a claimed BP in an open setup, especially after the Tracker flip
It's a pretty believable townslip, I'd be really really surprised if Hika flipped scum
Is this really all you got to say about it?Hika wrote:
He could be scum keeping me alive for WIFOM.
No, because you could be doing the same thing too.Sakura wrote:
Is this really all you got to say about it?Hika wrote:
He could be scum keeping me alive for WIFOM.
So basically you're implying thatHika wrote:
I don't care if he defended me. Someone defending me does not make them automatically town in my eyes. their play is more important to me than me securing a townread in everyone else's reads.
You already revealed your true motives.Hika wrote:
He could be scum keeping me alive for WIFOM.
Hika wrote:
bboy + frosty
or bboy + Jess
are my corrected scumteam reads.
?????????????????????????????Hika wrote:
Eh, I'm not gonna question it because I'm town.
She was my scum read anyway lel
Hika wrote:
Sakura because she tried to defend frosty not being scum. Is that really a scumtell that you don't agree with somebody?
Bboy because I have no idea wtf he's on about.
Frosty because he's flopping his reads too much. This can be applied to Sakura too. How is he flopping? Provide examples.
Hika wrote:
abraker not on my list because he interrogated me D1 and I believe he doing his best to scumhunt. You seem to be agreeing with him on the Frostings scumread. You see, you said you believe he's doing his best. Shouldn't the same logic apply for Sakura's townread on Frosty?
Jess I'm willing to lynch bc she is anti town. Why would you lynch anti-town on top of scum?
Formatting.rEdo wrote:
I'll let myself use the red color to respond to this.Hika wrote:
Sakura because she tried to defend frosty not being scum. Is that really a scumtell that you don't agree with somebody?
Bboy because I have no idea wtf he's on about. Fine.
Frosty because he's flopping his reads too much. This can be applied to Sakura too. How is he flopping? Provide examples.Hika wrote:
abraker not on my list because he interrogated me D1 and I believe he doing his best to scumhunt. You seem to be agreeing with him on the Frostings scumread. You see, you said you believe he's doing his best. Shouldn't the same logic apply for Sakura's townread on Frosty?
Jess I'm willing to lynch bc she is anti town. Why would you lynch anti-town on top of scum?
I can just imagine, we get to L-1, Jess hammers, then we lynch Jess but it turns out she's town and we lose the gamerEdo wrote:
Nobody hammers that shit before I wake up. I double dare you.