That if foulcoon/DxS is probably considered Mafia due to what Chris said before he was nightkilled?
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Experimental Mafia (Game Over - Town Win Host Lose)
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that literally makes no sense
read what you just wrote word by word
edit: but no I am obviously not trying to make you think that foulcoon is mafia
I just wanted you to see the relationship between him and quaraezha
read what you just wrote word by word
edit: but no I am obviously not trying to make you think that foulcoon is mafia
I just wanted you to see the relationship between him and quaraezha
Okay, there is a lot I want to say, and right now I'm really writing this whole post on the fly without much thought to the structure. Let me first of all get to the point.
If I am lynched today, the town will lose this game.
I am telling you this with utmost certainty. If I get lynched, another townie will get NKed, and the ratio will be 3 town: 2 mafia. Sure, there's a chance of town still winning, but it's a chance that it not worth taking.
The things that people pin on me for being scummy make me fucking facepalm.
I feel that my reasoning for feeling foulcoon being Mason is solid. I've also yet to see anybody question it. If you can't supply me reasoning as to why foulcoon is not Mason, than why is nobody considering the fact that maybe he is? Am I also the only one to notice how he went from smart ass, FoSing Rolled, super-certain Foulcoon to a grasping, kind of easy-going Foulcoon as soon as I posted?
Now let's go back and consider that maybe foulcoon has the ability to see who voted for the target on D1.
Has a role like this ever existed? Please give me a link to it on the wiki or something, as I'm not too familiar with mafia in general.
If you all are suggesting that it's a role LS just created on the spot, this game being the first to have it, I doubt that.
When LS has a new role idea, you can expect a public discussion before actually releasing it in a game.
If somebody can however direct me to the role which foulcoon supposedly has, then I will realize that I may need to change my approach in this game greatly. But until then, he's still Mason. And if foulcoon does not claim a role with this ability, than that only support the idea that he is Mason. He's practically claimed he has the ability to know that animask and ph0x are mafia, why not just state his role? (for those arguing that I'm role-fishing)
Goddddddd my thoughts are all over the place.
Let's just start quoting people now.
In plain terms, I feel that Ph0x is using his daytime private talking ability to manipulate the other Mason's (foulcoon, animask?) into believing what they believe.
Okay I guess that's it. This post fucking blows.
Suggestion: Is there a ballot box manager out there? If so, roleclaim.
The easiest way to find whether Foulcoon is telling the truth or not will be to lynch him, and recount the votes if he happens to be pro-town.
If I'm understanding the Ballot Box Manager's role correctly, we can undo the lynching of foulcoon after we see his confirmed role?
If I am lynched today, the town will lose this game.
I am telling you this with utmost certainty. If I get lynched, another townie will get NKed, and the ratio will be 3 town: 2 mafia. Sure, there's a chance of town still winning, but it's a chance that it not worth taking.
The things that people pin on me for being scummy make me fucking facepalm.
I know bmin isn't even in this game anymore, but this is the situation that's sticking out the most in my head. Did everybody read my post to foulcoon? Like, READ it. Or did you just skim it, and in the end notice my sarcasm, and that's the only point sticking in your mind? Ask yourself if I (or anybody else) would build up a defense as strong as that as mafia. If your answer is yes, than thank you and all, but you're giving me way too much fucking credit.bmin wrote:
My two suspicions are rust and Rolled (though my suspicion for Rolled is WIFOM)
rust45: the same reason as D1. Your accusation for Q seem like you were trying to cover your suspicion.
Rolled: Highly WIFOM.Rolled wrote:
And take that fucking FoS off of me.
I feel that my reasoning for feeling foulcoon being Mason is solid. I've also yet to see anybody question it. If you can't supply me reasoning as to why foulcoon is not Mason, than why is nobody considering the fact that maybe he is? Am I also the only one to notice how he went from smart ass, FoSing Rolled, super-certain Foulcoon to a grasping, kind of easy-going Foulcoon as soon as I posted?
Now let's go back and consider that maybe foulcoon has the ability to see who voted for the target on D1.
Has a role like this ever existed? Please give me a link to it on the wiki or something, as I'm not too familiar with mafia in general.
If you all are suggesting that it's a role LS just created on the spot, this game being the first to have it, I doubt that.
When LS has a new role idea, you can expect a public discussion before actually releasing it in a game.
If somebody can however direct me to the role which foulcoon supposedly has, then I will realize that I may need to change my approach in this game greatly. But until then, he's still Mason. And if foulcoon does not claim a role with this ability, than that only support the idea that he is Mason. He's practically claimed he has the ability to know that animask and ph0x are mafia, why not just state his role? (for those arguing that I'm role-fishing)
Goddddddd my thoughts are all over the place.
Let's just start quoting people now.
The first suggestion is a joke. First and foremost, why the hell would LS give foulcoon a different role? Second, why the hell would foulcoon believe he had a different role? I see nothing but an attempt to grasp at something that isn't there in this post.foulcoon wrote:
I would like to think that perhaps DxS was the mason, but when i replaced him I was given another role with the same alignment?
Also, my role PM doesn't say anything about masons at all.
This above statement shows that Mason have the ability to communicate during the day (since Q was lynched d1, and Masons usually can only communicate at night IF at all) So that supplies some reasoning as to why this game is going in the direction it is going. It also supports my theory (in my eyes) that Ph0x is Mafia Mason, as his posts thus far haven't done anything but really reiterate what others have said. He's picking apart people's logic and reasoning in order to make himself seem to be open-minded to all possibilities, and hasn't really pursued any of his self-gathered tells.Q wrote:
We did not share Mason PMs to the mods
In plain terms, I feel that Ph0x is using his daytime private talking ability to manipulate the other Mason's (foulcoon, animask?) into believing what they believe.
I don't see how that would effect anything that's happening right now in this game.animask wrote:
@MOD, can there be multiple Mason groups? (since I don't think I can ask IF there are any)
Why are you so easy to believe foulcoon?animask wrote:
@foulcoon, 2 mafias voted for Quy? I see... (I did research.)
I believe you for now...
Okay I guess that's it. This post fucking blows.
Suggestion: Is there a ballot box manager out there? If so, roleclaim.
The easiest way to find whether Foulcoon is telling the truth or not will be to lynch him, and recount the votes if he happens to be pro-town.
If I'm understanding the Ballot Box Manager's role correctly, we can undo the lynching of foulcoon after we see his confirmed role?
http://mafiascum.net/wiki/index.php?title=SensorRolled wrote:
Now let's go back and consider that maybe foulcoon has the ability to see who voted for the target on D1.
Has a role like this ever existed? Please give me a link to it on the wiki or something, as I'm not too familiar with mafia in general.
If you all are suggesting that it's a role LS just created on the spot, this game being the first to have it, I doubt that.
When LS has a new role idea, you can expect a public discussion before actually releasing it in a game.
Fuck, okay. Waiting for foulcoon to role-claim sensor.
Did you forget to read my post? Or are you really blind?Rolled wrote:
I feel that my reasoning for feeling foulcoon being Mason is solid. I've also yet to see anybody question it.
No, I didn't see that. Let me look again.Rolled wrote:
Am I also the only one to notice how he went from smart ass, FoSing Rolled, super-certain Foulcoon to a grasping, kind of easy-going Foulcoon as soon as I posted?
Nope. I think you're letting your emotions affect your thinking.
Knowledgeable townie and sensor are two I can think of. (The former usually gains their knowledge at the start of the game, but I wouldn't find it hard to believe they could gain knowledge throughout the game.)Rolled wrote:
Now let's go back and consider that maybe foulcoon has the ability to see who voted for the target on D1.
Has a role like this ever existed? Please give me a link to it on the wiki or something, as I'm not too familiar with mafia in general.
If you all are suggesting that it's a role LS just created on the spot, this game being the first to have it, I doubt that.
When LS has a new role idea, you can expect a public discussion before actually releasing it in a game.
If somebody can however direct me to the role which foulcoon supposedly has, then I will realize that I may need to change my approach in this game greatly. But until then, he's still Mason.
I don't remember him saying that. Typo?Rolled wrote:
He's practically claimed he has the ability to know that animask and ph0x are mafia, ...
I read that quote as "wtf are you talking about Rolled? maybe LS changed my role from mason to [whatever I am now], but I don't see how your conclusion relates to what I have said", or something. Maybe I am giving foul too much credit.Rolled wrote:
The first suggestion is a joke. First and foremost, why the hell would LS give foulcoon a different role? Second, why the hell would foulcoon believe he had a different role? I see nothing but an attempt to grasp at something that isn't there in this post.foulcoon wrote:
I would like to think that perhaps DxS was the mason, but when i replaced him I was given another role with the same alignment?
Also, my role PM doesn't say anything about masons at all.
I'm picking apart people's logic for several reasons:Rolled wrote:
[Ph0X]'s picking apart people's logic and reasoning in order to make himself seem to be open-minded to all possibilities, and hasn't really pursued any of his self-gathered tells.
- I want to understand what they are saying.
- I want to make sure I am not misunderstanding what they are saying.
- I want to write down conclusions I find along the way.
- I want to use my notes to help build an argument when I am ready.
Also, see what I have done day 1. What you just said contradicts what I have done.
I am not a mason. I also have never been a mason, and I have not dealt with masons in LS games. However, from what I know of masons, they typically do not communicate during the daytime.Rolled wrote:
In plain terms, I feel that Ph0x is using his daytime private talking ability to manipulate the other Mason's (foulcoon, animask?) into believing what they believe.
What do you make of quaraezha's day 2 post then?Ph0X wrote:
I am not a mason. I also have never been a mason, and I have not dealt with masons in LS games. However, from what I know of masons, they typically do not communicate during the daytime.Rolled wrote:
In plain terms, I feel that Ph0x is using his daytime private talking ability to manipulate the other Mason's (foulcoon, animask?) into believing what they believe.
And what do you think about my idea of systematic lynching, assuming foulcoon claims sensor?
Let's say that there are seven players, and two of four specific players are known to be mafia.
Let's call those four potentially-mafia players A, B, X, and Y. Let's say A and B are townies, and X and Y are mafia.
It's clearly in the best interest of the mafia to kill players not in this set of four players, so I will not consider those possibilities.
Here are the possible lynch permutations, assuming all vanilla:
TT 1/4 M
Day 2, 7 players (5/2); lynch A; alive: B, X, Y
Day 3, 5 players (3/2); lynch B; alive: X, Y
Day 4, 3 players (1/2); mafia win
TMT 1/8 M
Day 2, 7 players (5/2); lynch A; alive: B, X, Y
Day 3, 5 players (3/2); lynch X; alive: B, Y
Day 4, 3 players (2/1); lynch B; alive: Y
Day 5, 1 players (0/1); mafia win
TMM 1/8 T
Day 2, 7 players (5/2); lynch A; alive: B, X, Y
Day 3, 5 players (3/2); lynch X; alive: B, Y
Day 4, 3 players (2/1); lynch Y; alive: B
Day 5, 2 players (2/0); town win
MTT 1/8 M
Day 2, 7 players (5/2); lynch X; alive: A, B, Y
Day 3, 5 players (4/1); lynch A; alive: B, Y
Day 4, 3 players (2/1); lynch B; alive: Y
Day 5, 1 players (0/1); mafia win
MTM 1/8 T
Day 2, 7 players (5/2); lynch X; alive: A, B, Y
Day 3, 5 players (4/1); lynch A; alive: B, Y
Day 4, 3 players (2/1); lynch Y; alive: B
Day 5, 2 players (2/0); town win
MM 1/4 T
Day 2, 7 players (5/2); lynch X; alive: A, B, Y
Day 3, 5 players (4/1); lynch Y; town win
(Format is: lynches in order (M=mafia, T=town), probability of the situation occurring given random chance, eventual win.)
Let's tally up the probabilities:
TT 1/4 M
TMT 1/8 M
TMM 1/8 T
MTT 1/8 M
MTM 1/8 T
MM 1/4 T
M = 1/4 + 1/8 + 1/8 = 1/2 = 50%
T = 1/8 + 1/8 + 1/4 = 1/2 = 50%
If we assume foul is telling the truth, randomly lynching will not tilt the odds in either team's favor. This is what MM (Lilac) was trying to say, Two.
Things are different if we are only looking at three players (one townie, two mafia). Basically, just chop off the TT, TMT, and MTT possibilities:
TMM 1/8 T
MTM 1/8 T
MM 1/4 T
So what do we get? A guaranteed townie win.
Of course, this all hinges on a few assumptions:
Let's call those four potentially-mafia players A, B, X, and Y. Let's say A and B are townies, and X and Y are mafia.
It's clearly in the best interest of the mafia to kill players not in this set of four players, so I will not consider those possibilities.
Here are the possible lynch permutations, assuming all vanilla:
TT 1/4 M
Day 2, 7 players (5/2); lynch A; alive: B, X, Y
Day 3, 5 players (3/2); lynch B; alive: X, Y
Day 4, 3 players (1/2); mafia win
TMT 1/8 M
Day 2, 7 players (5/2); lynch A; alive: B, X, Y
Day 3, 5 players (3/2); lynch X; alive: B, Y
Day 4, 3 players (2/1); lynch B; alive: Y
Day 5, 1 players (0/1); mafia win
TMM 1/8 T
Day 2, 7 players (5/2); lynch A; alive: B, X, Y
Day 3, 5 players (3/2); lynch X; alive: B, Y
Day 4, 3 players (2/1); lynch Y; alive: B
Day 5, 2 players (2/0); town win
MTT 1/8 M
Day 2, 7 players (5/2); lynch X; alive: A, B, Y
Day 3, 5 players (4/1); lynch A; alive: B, Y
Day 4, 3 players (2/1); lynch B; alive: Y
Day 5, 1 players (0/1); mafia win
MTM 1/8 T
Day 2, 7 players (5/2); lynch X; alive: A, B, Y
Day 3, 5 players (4/1); lynch A; alive: B, Y
Day 4, 3 players (2/1); lynch Y; alive: B
Day 5, 2 players (2/0); town win
MM 1/4 T
Day 2, 7 players (5/2); lynch X; alive: A, B, Y
Day 3, 5 players (4/1); lynch Y; town win
(Format is: lynches in order (M=mafia, T=town), probability of the situation occurring given random chance, eventual win.)
Let's tally up the probabilities:
TT 1/4 M
TMT 1/8 M
TMM 1/8 T
MTT 1/8 M
MTM 1/8 T
MM 1/4 T
M = 1/4 + 1/8 + 1/8 = 1/2 = 50%
T = 1/8 + 1/8 + 1/4 = 1/2 = 50%
If we assume foul is telling the truth, randomly lynching will not tilt the odds in either team's favor. This is what MM (Lilac) was trying to say, Two.
Things are different if we are only looking at three players (one townie, two mafia). Basically, just chop off the TT, TMT, and MTT possibilities:
TMM 1/8 T
MTM 1/8 T
MM 1/4 T
So what do we get? A guaranteed townie win.
Of course, this all hinges on a few assumptions:
- foul is telling the truth.
- All lynches and nightkills are successful.
- No lynches and nightkills are reversed.
- There is one confirmed townie among the four.
Nothing. I am disregarding what Q said completely.Two wrote:
What do you make of quaraezha's day 2 post then?Ph0X wrote:
[quote removed]
I am not a mason. I also have never been a mason, and I have not dealt with masons in LS games. However, from what I know of masons, they typically do not communicate during the daytime.
See the post I just made. (You posted after I started writing it.)Two wrote:
And what do you think about my idea of systematic lynching, assuming foulcoon claims sensor?
Add to that list:Ph0X wrote:
Of course, this all hinges on a few assumptions:
- foul is telling the truth.
- All lynches and nightkills are successful.
- No lynches and nightkills are reversed.
- There is one confirmed townie among the four.
- No other kills are made.
Vote: Two
? I'm pretty sure you agreed with me here
2 aux: chris.foulcoon
2 mafia from the 3 of these people: rolled/lilac/rust
2 masons: quaraezha and ???
3 town: me, ??? ???
So what do we get? A guaranteed townie win.edit: and also you and I both know there will be no extra kills, this is the role list if foulcoon is a sensor
2 aux: chris.foulcoon
2 mafia from the 3 of these people: rolled/lilac/rust
2 masons: quaraezha and ???
3 town: me, ??? ???
"foul claims sensor" != "foul is proven sensor".Two wrote:
? I'm pretty sure you agreed with me hereSo what do we get? A guaranteed townie win.
Also, there are the other assumptions to consider.
If those assumptions are made, yes, I agree with you. But those assumptions are not being made right now, so no, I do not agree with you.
(Please don't edit posts.)Two wrote:
edit: and also you and I both know there will be no extra kills, this is the role list if foulcoon is a sensor
2 aux: chris.foulcoon
2 mafia from the 3 of these people: rolled/lilac/rust
2 masons: quaraezha and ???
3 town: me, ??? ???
There are modkills, and there may be a vig role or something. I don't like to discount circumstances which are very real and possible.
it's not very real and possible for there to be 3 aux and 2 masons in a 9 person game
edit: and I will continue to edit my posts that don't change post content thx
edit: and I will continue to edit my posts that don't change post content thx
Question to Ph0X: What happens if there are no lynches made today?
Something tells me that the odds would be terrible...
Something tells me that the odds would be terrible...
we are already down 2 town so that makes it either:
3 mafia vs 4 town (lol)
or
2 mafia vs 5 town
nolynch would make it 100%
3 mafia vs 2 town
or
2 mafia vs 3 town
nolynch is always bad but especially now
3 mafia vs 4 town (lol)
or
2 mafia vs 5 town
nolynch would make it 100%
3 mafia vs 2 town
or
2 mafia vs 3 town
nolynch is always bad but especially now
Two wrote:
nolynch would make it 100%
3 mafia vs 3 town
or
2 mafia vs 4 town
You guys will just have to trust me on this one.
I like Two's plan, but remove the voting for Rolled specifically part and the exempting Two from lynching (that he is trying to work in so badly). I'm more inclined to believe that bmin wouldn't just drop out of a mafia role and ask for replacement, but its always a possibility.
I like Two's plan, but remove the voting for Rolled specifically part and the exempting Two from lynching (that he is trying to work in so badly). I'm more inclined to believe that bmin wouldn't just drop out of a mafia role and ask for replacement, but its always a possibility.
Wait, I'm getting voted for somewhere in this strategy?
Does this translate to "rust and Two are mafia?" I'm confused.foulcoon wrote:
I like Two's plan, but remove the voting for Rolled specifically part and the exempting Two from lynching (that he is trying to work in so badly). I'm more inclined to believe that bmin wouldn't just drop out of a mafia role and ask for replacement, but its always a possibility.
are you saying you don't have a sensor role?
yes/no? very simple
and I'm not trying "very badly" to exclude myself, I already excluded myself in my first post, which was then supported by rolled and ph0x
which is why it's funny that ph0x even voted for me
yes/no? very simple
and I'm not trying "very badly" to exclude myself, I already excluded myself in my first post, which was then supported by rolled and ph0x
which is why it's funny that ph0x even voted for me
Cite exactly where that was "supported by ... ph0x".Two wrote:
and I'm not trying "very badly" to exclude myself, I already excluded myself in my first post, which was then supported by rolled and ph0x
which is why it's funny that ph0x even voted for me
Also, I am not saying that I don't have an aux role. As a matter of fact, I do have an aux role. I'll leave it at that. The fate of town basically rests on a voting alliance with myself, Ph0X and animask (or myself, one of Ph0X OR animask, and 2 of the 4 accused). Once all 3 of us vote one way, at least one of the 4 accused should vote the same way, starting the systematic lynching of the 4 giving us what I believe is the best chance at winning this.Two wrote:
I find it suspicious that all of you are acting like you are unable to understand plain english. I'm really not that bad of a writer, and my format wasn't bad either.
Also, you realize that if foulcoon does have the ability to see how many mafia voted for the lynch target, we have already won right? Let me show you:
Voted for Quaraezha
Rolled
Two
rust45
bmin11
If we voted for rolled today, mafia or not, that brings the list to:
Two
Rust45
bmin11
human count at that point would be 3:2 or 4:1
you then vote for either rust45 or bmin and you have a 100% chance to hit mafia if it's 3:2 or 50% if it's 4:1
the human count then looks like this: 2:1
finally, you lynch the remaining player
if there are 3 mafia members then this was a bad setup and I don't mind losing anyway
@Ph0x, animask: your thoughts?
look, you say ph0x and animask aren't mafia
I believe 100% animask isn't, and I believe you aren't
you also say that 2 mafia voted for quaraezha
I'm willing to vote for rust45 or Lilac, and I'd prefer rust45 since he's been lurking this whole game
edit for elaboration: we have 3 lynches left so rust45 will be the information everyone needs
I believe 100% animask isn't, and I believe you aren't
you also say that 2 mafia voted for quaraezha
I'm willing to vote for rust45 or Lilac, and I'd prefer rust45 since he's been lurking this whole game
edit for elaboration: we have 3 lynches left so rust45 will be the information everyone needs
I think I already answered that question.foulcoon wrote:
@Ph0x, animask: your thoughts?
rust45 and Lilac (bmin) are the only two who haven't outright claimed town (I think?). Its not that I completely believe either Two or Rolled, I just find it ironic. I'm starting to lean towards voting rust as he has been just lurking for the most part, and I've had my suspicions in the past about him.
unvote: vote rust
inb4 foul, Two, and Rolled are all mafia.
Whoa Whoa Whoa, hold on. Don't you think it's tad early to be trying to bandwagaon someone? Yes I have been lurking-ish and I know it does hurt the game. But I can't really help it. Honestly, I think it's suspicious how you guys are going so fast at trying to get a bandwagon in. I'm gonna put on FoS: Two for now as I think it's a tad early for voting(even if we can unvote at the moment) I would but an FoS on rolled but I have reason to believe he's townie.
cry more
the fact is you have lurked for this whole game, I've seen you do it just by being active myself
I can't even remember anything you have contributed and I feel it was intentional
your death gives too much information, it makes no sense not to lynch you when you also have been acting like mafia
the fact is you have lurked for this whole game, I've seen you do it just by being active myself
I can't even remember anything you have contributed and I feel it was intentional
your death gives too much information, it makes no sense not to lynch you when you also have been acting like mafia
I find that bandwagon vote hilarious btw... (Two/Rolled)
Vote: Two
@rust45, early isn't really an issue, but what makes you think Rolled is a townie?
Vote: Two
@rust45, early isn't really an issue, but what makes you think Rolled is a townie?
and I find your lack of understanding disgusting as a human being and american
edit: at least have the humility to ask questions and educate yourself
edit: at least have the humility to ask questions and educate yourself
you know what? I'm tired of this game
I'm tired of having to try to convince people that refuse to read, that refuse to comprehend, that refuse to even participate in this game
newsflash: I was confirmed town day 2
anyone with half a brain that read the thread knew that already (ie no one)
but I guess that isn't plain enough for you people is it? how about this:
roleclaim sane cop
that good enough? lets just get rid of our safety net and rest all of our hopes on whether foulcoon is lying or not (hint: he is if we lynch rust45 and he isn't mafia)
I'm tired of having to try to convince people that refuse to read, that refuse to comprehend, that refuse to even participate in this game
newsflash: I was confirmed town day 2
anyone with half a brain that read the thread knew that already (ie no one)
but I guess that isn't plain enough for you people is it? how about this:
roleclaim sane cop
that good enough? lets just get rid of our safety net and rest all of our hopes on whether foulcoon is lying or not (hint: he is if we lynch rust45 and he isn't mafia)
at night I scanned rolled but was roleblocked, when chris died in the morning I knew for sure that he used his ability on me because of that
I then figured that if rolled were to night kill me it wouldn't have been because he thought I was aux, and so he wouldn't roleblock me
so then I turned to the other person who supposedly thinks: ph0x, and centered my post around the point of him being mafia
and then we have his name cleared by the information that 2 mafia voted for quaraezha
and so that leaves rust45 (likely to be mafia by his actions), lilac (likely to be mafia by his actions, also tried to group me, rolled and chris together as bmin, which he thought was safe at that point since it had already been said twice before that I believe), and rolled, who is almost definitely not mafia for multiple reasons
because of the above, here is what you do:
lynch rust45 today, he is confirmed mafia for sure, force lilac not to vote for him
then I die at night, foulcoon says how many mafia voted for rust45 in the morning
when he gets 0, you then lynch lilac and win
worst case scenarios:
1. rolled is mafia and it takes 1 extra day to win, big deal
2. foulcoon lied (most likely if rust45 is town), in which case you lynch foulcoon on day 3 and choose between animask and ph0x on day 4 (I suggest ph0x)
now don't expect me to reply to anything stupid you say in response, I will only be voting from now on for the sake of my sanity
I then figured that if rolled were to night kill me it wouldn't have been because he thought I was aux, and so he wouldn't roleblock me
so then I turned to the other person who supposedly thinks: ph0x, and centered my post around the point of him being mafia
and then we have his name cleared by the information that 2 mafia voted for quaraezha
and so that leaves rust45 (likely to be mafia by his actions), lilac (likely to be mafia by his actions, also tried to group me, rolled and chris together as bmin, which he thought was safe at that point since it had already been said twice before that I believe), and rolled, who is almost definitely not mafia for multiple reasons
because of the above, here is what you do:
lynch rust45 today, he is confirmed mafia for sure, force lilac not to vote for him
then I die at night, foulcoon says how many mafia voted for rust45 in the morning
when he gets 0, you then lynch lilac and win
worst case scenarios:
1. rolled is mafia and it takes 1 extra day to win, big deal
2. foulcoon lied (most likely if rust45 is town), in which case you lynch foulcoon on day 3 and choose between animask and ph0x on day 4 (I suggest ph0x)
now don't expect me to reply to anything stupid you say in response, I will only be voting from now on for the sake of my sanity
I knew you would ^___^animask wrote:
I find that bandwagon vote hilarious btw... (Two/Rolled)
It's not so much me bandwagoning as it is me agreeing, though.
Well Two that's funny, because I don't believe you're the cop. Considering I'm the cop.
And last night I investigated Rolled and found him to be innocent. As to what you're trying to pass off as the truth, it's untrue considering I'm the cop.
He's my theory of what happened assuming you're mafia:
You or your partner wanted to kill Rolled because you figured a kill on him would distance you from the killing, but Chris had swapped himself with Rolled. Thus Chris got killed instead. Then you assumed this when the day started and decided to try to make people think you were the attempted murder of the night, trying to make you look town.
And last night I investigated Rolled and found him to be innocent. As to what you're trying to pass off as the truth, it's untrue considering I'm the cop.
He's my theory of what happened assuming you're mafia:
You or your partner wanted to kill Rolled because you figured a kill on him would distance you from the killing, but Chris had swapped himself with Rolled. Thus Chris got killed instead. Then you assumed this when the day started and decided to try to make people think you were the attempted murder of the night, trying to make you look town.
God damnit.
unvote
Not voting until I figure this shit out.
unvote
Not voting until I figure this shit out.
This did bother me. How would you know whether or not you were sane at this point in the game, assuming you were truthful about the N1 actions?Two wrote:
roleclaim sane cop
Two is also suggestiing that he was both the target for NK, and roleblocked. That's just kind of weird, and would be hard for him to conclude both just based on what he thinks my meta would be.Two wrote:
at night I scanned rolled but was roleblocked
Okay, suggestions now, based on Two's plan ^_^:
Either Rust or Two is mafia, this goes without say based on counter-claims and LAL policy.
Rust's overall cop claim story sounds more believable. Focusing solely on the cop-claim, not activity that happened earlier in the game.
The ratio of humans:mafia right now is 5:2. If we lynch Two today, the possibilities are as follows:
1.) Two is mafia. Day 3 ratio will be 1:4, and assuming foulcoon's claim is correct, lilac is the other mafia.
2.) Two's is town. Day 3 ratio will be 2:3, however (still assuming foulcoon is correct), Lilac and Rust are both mafia.
The only way town will lose is if foulcoon or myself is mafia. I appear to have support of my innocence from both mafia side and town side, and I along with other people have reason to believe foulcoon is town.
This is pretty much an attempt to redeem myself in this game, as I've been an absolute terrible town player. I'll be changing the way I play for future games. Sorry team
oh cool rust45 admits he's mafia now
the reason why I said sane cop is because I asked ladysuburu immediately if I was sane
she said that she shouldn't tell me this but yes
edit:last post I promise :X
the reason why I said sane cop is because I asked ladysuburu immediately if I was sane
she said that she shouldn't tell me this but yes
edit:
I will only be voting from now on for the sake of my sanity
If you were willing to vote Rust/Rolled/Bmin, based on just foulcoon's claim, then why are you not willing to substitute yourself in there. It's the same concept, town will still win.
Think about this: rust45 knows that town can do that. Why would he even bother to roleclaim then unless that plan wouldn't work?Rolled wrote:
If you were willing to vote Rust/Rolled/Bmin, based on just foulcoon's claim, then why are you not willing to substitute yourself in there. It's the same concept, town will still win.
Also, I never said I wouldn't, you just assumed that out of thin air again. You are predisposed to believing I'm mafia. That's why you went from thinking rust45 was mafia, to his weak counterclaim suddenly making me look like mafia. No rational person goes from point a to d.
Anyway if you guys really end up being dumb enough to buy his claim, the safest course of action is just to leave us both alive and lynch Lilac. I absolutely refuse to vote for myself based on not only the first sentence of this post, but principle and pride. That really is a pathetic counterclaim.
last post for reallll, Rolled just annoyed me with his stupidity
I smell a lot of appeal to emotion and false dilemma brewing in this thread.
I am keeping my vote on Two, and am FoS'ing foul.
I am keeping my vote on Two, and am FoS'ing foul.
Reason for FoSing foul?
You have to understand, ph0x, it's easy to miss things in your posts ;(
You have to understand, ph0x, it's easy to miss things in your posts ;(
I believe Two is mafia, and foul is his buddy assisting in his plan.Rolled wrote:
You have to understand, ph0x, it's easy to miss things in your posts ;(
At least, that's what I find most likely right now.Ph0X wrote:
I believe Two is mafia, and foul is his buddy assisting in his plan.Rolled wrote:
You have to understand, ph0x, it's easy to miss things in your posts ;(
I already mentioned a Two-foul association early day 2, which supports my theory.
I liedd, I guess I want to win bad enough to post again
here is what is most likely: rust45 Lilac and ph0x are mafia
why? role distribution: town has 3 aux+2masons (bus driver sensor cop)
rust45 roleclaiming makes no sense if it's just him and Lilac, since buying a day doesn't do anything -- unless all you need is a day because there are 3 mafia left
it literally makes 0 sense to lynch me over Lilac, unless you are mafia (hi ph0x)
here is what is most likely: rust45 Lilac and ph0x are mafia
why? role distribution: town has 3 aux+2masons (bus driver sensor cop)
rust45 roleclaiming makes no sense if it's just him and Lilac, since buying a day doesn't do anything -- unless all you need is a day because there are 3 mafia left
it literally makes 0 sense to lynch me over Lilac, unless you are mafia (hi ph0x)
From the facts we have, what distinguishes you from Lilac?Two wrote:
it literally makes 0 sense to lynch me over Lilac, unless you are mafia (hi ph0x)
2 mafia voted for quaraezhaPh0X wrote:
From the facts we have, what distinguishes you from Lilac?
rolled is generally considered not mafia
rust and I roleclaimed the same role
Lilac is the only one left
IF there are 3 mafia, it would make no sense to gamble by voting for one of the roleclaimed cops (since one is definitely town, or do you dispute even that?), and instead it would make sense to vote for Lilac and compare aux information day 3
I do find it a bit odd that Ph0X would agree with my emotional response scum-tell.
I would expect something a bit more to reinforce his ideas. (Sort of meta-gaming...)
FoS Ph0X
@Two, we have a confirmed Bus Driver, but no actual confirmed sensor. (Did foulcoon roleclaim sensor yet?)
rust45 claims that he is the actual cop and not you.
Also, you shouldn't lie. If rust45 claims as the cop and you say its a lie, that can only mean that you are mafia or are
just hiding something in general.
Rolled's unvote (could say) that he is actually a townie and believed Two wasn't mafia, but
is now unsure because of rust45's roleclaim. Then again, this could be a setup by Rolled and rust45
to make Two look guiltier.
Now, I'm just throwing random ideas out there...
I would expect something a bit more to reinforce his ideas. (Sort of meta-gaming...)
FoS Ph0X
@Two, we have a confirmed Bus Driver, but no actual confirmed sensor. (Did foulcoon roleclaim sensor yet?)
rust45 claims that he is the actual cop and not you.
Also, you shouldn't lie. If rust45 claims as the cop and you say its a lie, that can only mean that you are mafia or are
just hiding something in general.
Rolled's unvote (could say) that he is actually a townie and believed Two wasn't mafia, but
is now unsure because of rust45's roleclaim. Then again, this could be a setup by Rolled and rust45
to make Two look guiltier.
Now, I'm just throwing random ideas out there...
foulcoon isn't allowed to claim obviouslyanimask wrote:
Also, you shouldn't lie. If rust45 claims as the cop and you say its a lie, that can only mean that you are mafia or are
just hiding something in general.
and please animask, I beg you to understand this one thing if nothing else: rust45 claimed cop in order to buy the 1 day that his team of 3 mafia needs to win the game
You seem so sure of yourself that there are three mafia, while this cannot be true at all. Considering in the OP of the game, LS said that the setup for the game will resemble one from this topic with a few other roles added. I honestly don't think LS would consider a three mafia setup to resemble one of those setups which are all two mafia setups. I honestly don't get where you got the idea that there were three mafia, sounds like you're trying to come up with crazy theories to try to get people off your back.
We already know for a fact that our role setup doesn't resemble anything from that topic. Yet another weak post. Here is my full theory:
Two:cop 1
foulcoon:sensor 2
quaraezha:mason 3
animask:mason \\ ph0x:mason (yeah right rofl) 4
chris: bus driver 5
rust45: mafia 6
Lilac: mafia 7
ph0x: mafia \\ animask:mafia (yeah right rofl) 8
but then we get to rolled, the 9th player, which we can then conclude two things (if the rest is right):
1. rolled isn't mason
2. rolled is either the sole vanilla town, or he is aux as well
since I find it unlikely that rolled is the sole vanilla town, and since this game is called "experimental mafia", I think the experiment was this: there is no vanilla town
so are you aux rolled? that would confirm my theory, but even if he isn't we can still assume that he is the sole vanilla and that 3 aux + 2 masons are overpowered enough for there to be 3 mafia
Two:cop 1
foulcoon:sensor 2
quaraezha:mason 3
animask:mason \\ ph0x:mason (yeah right rofl) 4
chris: bus driver 5
rust45: mafia 6
Lilac: mafia 7
ph0x: mafia \\ animask:mafia (yeah right rofl) 8
but then we get to rolled, the 9th player, which we can then conclude two things (if the rest is right):
1. rolled isn't mason
2. rolled is either the sole vanilla town, or he is aux as well
since I find it unlikely that rolled is the sole vanilla town, and since this game is called "experimental mafia", I think the experiment was this: there is no vanilla town
so are you aux rolled? that would confirm my theory, but even if he isn't we can still assume that he is the sole vanilla and that 3 aux + 2 masons are overpowered enough for there to be 3 mafia
I'd like to thank rust45 for allowing me to flesh all of this out. Without him I wouldn't have realized there were 3 mafia, and without him I wouldn't have confirmed animask's innocence. Thanks bud.
So your conclusion, Two, is that rust is mafia, I am mafia, and either Rolled or Lilac are mafia?
Nope, rust confirmed that Rolled is town. Thanks for that too.
So who are the three mafia?Two wrote:
Nope, rust confirmed that Rolled is town. Thanks for that too.
Why bother proposing scenarios and ideas if you won't answer questions about them?Two wrote:
please don't try to play games
you lose
because we both know that I already answered the question in the post you are asking the question about
since I realize that there has been communication problems in this game, though, I'll bite:
for the 3rd or 4th time, ph0x, Lilac, and rust45 are the mafia in this game
since I realize that there has been communication problems in this game, though, I'll bite:
for the 3rd or 4th time, ph0x, Lilac, and rust45 are the mafia in this game
Well, you're wrong.Two wrote:
for the 3rd or 4th time, ph0x, Lilac, and rust45 are the mafia in this game
... but you already knew you are wrong anyway.
foulcoon has lurked, rolled has lurked, animask has lurked
we only had 4 days left to do something 2 days ago
whether you choose to win or lose, do something please
we only had 4 days left to do something 2 days ago
whether you choose to win or lose, do something please
I really need to see what Rolled has to say before I make a decision.
Fuck if I know bro. Obviously either Two or Rust is mafia. Given that maaaaaybe there is actually 3 mafia, which is retarded, I guess that makes Lilac the safest day 2 lynch? I'm hung over right now and I just woke up, just giving a bit of input as you requested.
Are you saying you aren't aux then?
Well truthfully, I discovered that my role does have a special ability that I wasn't fully aware of until the middle of Day 2. Up until then, I was under the impression that I was just a mere vanilla.
LAL, etc. I'm asking you to trust that I fully wasn't aware up until recently. Give me until Day 3 and I'll be able to prove it.
That said, it is likely that there is no Vanilla Town amongst us, possibly giving some support to the 3 mafia theory (which I still feel is broken)
LAL, etc. I'm asking you to trust that I fully wasn't aware up until recently. Give me until Day 3 and I'll be able to prove it.
That said, it is likely that there is no Vanilla Town amongst us, possibly giving some support to the 3 mafia theory (which I still feel is broken)
Rolled wrote:
as I've been an absolute terrible town player
yes you have beenRolled wrote:
as I've been an absolute terrible town player
ok cool you realize that confirms my role list right? the only other possibility is: rust45, foulcoon, ph0x as mafiaRolled wrote:
Well truthfully, I discovered that my role does have a special ability
because of that, the safest lynch from my perspective is rust45, followed by ph0x
I'm still willing to vote for Lilac though since it is the most likely combination
Did you mean Lilac, not foul?Two wrote:
the only other possibility is: rust45, foulcoon, ph0x as mafia
lol... Ph0X u readin' brah?Two wrote:
because we both know that I already answered the question in the post you are asking the question about
since I realize that there has been communication problems in this game, though, I'll bite:
for the 3rd or 4th time, ph0x, Lilac, and rust45 are the mafia in this game
I don't know whether or not to believe Two and Rolled but its getting slightly more convincing as we go. Coupled with the fact that no matter how much I defended you Ph0X you still decide to throw suspicion my way, I have a lot of thinking to do. I am not mafia, I think everybody knows this by now.
If this:
and the way ph0x and rust have been acting aren't enough to convince you, then really there is nothing that will
SPOILER
Two wrote:
We already know for a fact that our role setup doesn't resemble anything from that topic. Yet another weak post. Here is my full theory:
Two:cop 1
foulcoon:sensor 2
quaraezha:mason 3
animask:mason \\ ph0x:mason (yeah right rofl) 4
chris: bus driver 5
rust45: mafia 6
Lilac: mafia 7
ph0x: mafia \\ animask:mafia (yeah right rofl) 8
but then we get to rolled, the 9th player, which we can then conclude two things (if the rest is right):
1. rolled isn't mason
2. rolled is either the sole vanilla town, or he is aux as well
since I find it unlikely that rolled is the sole vanilla town, and since this game is called "experimental mafia", I think the experiment was this: there is no vanilla town
so are you aux rolled? that would confirm my theory, but even if he isn't we can still assume that he is the sole vanilla and that 3 aux + 2 masons are overpowered enough for there to be 3 mafia
I'd like to thank rust45 for allowing me to flesh all of this out. Without him I wouldn't have realized there were 3 mafia, and without him I wouldn't have confirmed animask's innocence. Thanks bud.
Nope, rust confirmed that Rolled is town. Thanks for that too.
[and the related rust posts that I'm too lazy to include]Rolled wrote:
my role does have a special ability
and the way ph0x and rust have been acting aren't enough to convince you, then really there is nothing that will
THE DAY ENDS IN 14 HOURS
I hate you all for being so apathetic
I hate you all for being so apathetic
Vote: Two
Forgot about the reset.
Forgot about the reset.
and there is your irrefutable proof that ph0x is mafia: any logical person wouldn't have voted for rust or me (he says he thinks there are 2 mafia, remember)
For some of us its a game of chance at this point. I would much rather put my vote on you or rust just because one of you is mafia. 50-50 chance here.
no you wouldn't foulcoon because that's wrong
there are 4 town 3 mafia
if you vote for rust, it will be a tie breaker at best since I already voted (I assumed lilac was the only person we could collectively agree on)
explain to me why you are against lynching lilac for information when you already know that rust or I is town? you said yourself 2 mafia voted for quaraezha so you should have no problem with lilac
there are 4 town 3 mafia
if you vote for rust, it will be a tie breaker at best since I already voted (I assumed lilac was the only person we could collectively agree on)
explain to me why you are against lynching lilac for information when you already know that rust or I is town? you said yourself 2 mafia voted for quaraezha so you should have no problem with lilac
Lilac?
Mind posting?
Mind posting?
Oh sure.
It's kinda getting hectic when I just got back my internet. Reading back on it, Two is kinda getting desperate but I'm leaning to believe that Two's emotions are getting the better of him.
...Not sure... I'm leaning towards voting Two because of my earlier statements about him. Reading on it more, though.
It's kinda getting hectic when I just got back my internet. Reading back on it, Two is kinda getting desperate but I'm leaning to believe that Two's emotions are getting the better of him.
...Not sure... I'm leaning towards voting Two because of my earlier statements about him. Reading on it more, though.
How many mafia do you think there are?
^ Question to all players (except Two, because he doesn't like clearly stating answers).Ph0X wrote:
How many mafia do you think there are?
I think there are two mafia myself.
Question time, alright.
The possibility of 3 mafia is possible, but I'm thinking that it really isn't the case... I'm saying 90% that it's two...
The possibility of 3 mafia is possible, but I'm thinking that it really isn't the case... I'm saying 90% that it's two...
I still think there are only two mafia, as I said in my other post regarding this. Sure the role setup is different then the ones in the topic (a confirmed mason and possible sensor) but most of what Two said was role speculation and I don't think LS would change the ratio of town to scum for the game.
Obviously, most people will assume there are two mafia members. However, having three mafia members doesn't seem to out-there of a possibility.
And since there is a possibility of three members, lynching one of the two cop-claims can lose us the game. So unless you're 100% certain that there's only two mafia members, lynching rust/two isn't the smartest choice you can make.
And since there is a possibility of three members, lynching one of the two cop-claims can lose us the game. So unless you're 100% certain that there's only two mafia members, lynching rust/two isn't the smartest choice you can make.
Vote: Lilac
Wait a second, the day isn't ending that soon. Two said the deadline is gonna be 11 hours. Using my time, that would be the 10th of July at 11:16 AM, but the day started on the 6th of July at 11:16 AM. Wouldn't this make the deadline the 11th of July at 11:16 AM? Not the 10th? Or am I messing up my math?
Two messed up the deadline. Scumpaint opportunity!
yes the day is ending that soon
yes you can't do math
and yes you are bad at this game
yes you can't do math
and yes you are bad at this game
FalseTwo wrote:
yes the day is ending that soon
yes you can't do math
and yes you are bad at this game
False and...
Maybe
Anyway, I need to sleep, don't worry I'll vote as I plan on getting up before 11:16 AM on Monday(Not Sunday).
Vote: Two
Earlier stuff I talked about, HoS, Emotional wreck and I probably won't have the internet tomorrow.
Earlier stuff I talked about, HoS, Emotional wreck and I probably won't have the internet tomorrow.
You've lost the plot, haven't you?
Plot? It simply makes no sense for town to vote for me unless they think that there not only is 3 mafia, but that I am a member of the 3 mafia team. And who would my team mates be? That is where your fake argument would fall apart. So thanks for claiming, and be sure to thank rust45 for selling ph0x and you out.
You've done nothing but spit conjecture.
IF foulcoon was sensor.
IF you are the cop.
In fact, you're whole argument is only structured on those two statements, if either of those are false, your argument becomes moot.
IF foulcoon was sensor.
IF you are the cop.
In fact, you're whole argument is only structured on those two statements, if either of those are false, your argument becomes moot.
Oh look, someone who pays attention.