Im no trap frog, Im legit John Cena 101%
Invisible trapMeah wrote:
Im no trap frog, Im legit John Cena 101%
This math is flawed. Given 17 unlocked tiles and 36 tiles total, any 12 positions which any of the 6 of the 17 tiles can be in if the game is won, and 11 positions where 11 of the 17 tiles cannot be in if the game is won:Blitzfrog wrote:
Well considering that there is 36 tiles
The total outcome is 36!/(36-19)!
=36!/17!
=1.0458433e+27
And that is a huge number
Considering also that the only possible way he/she I'm still not sure about micro-dick's gender gets a bingo is reaching 6 in a row horizontally or vertically. We can do an estimation of the possible bingo hits.
We know for sure he/she(it) has at least got 1 row/column. We can conclude that there is only 30 tiles available for randomisation. Consider also that this will be an over estimation due to the fact that you can't get bingos in multiple columns/multiple rows as the game would have ended. (note it is possible to get a row and a column). So we can conclude that the number of ways you can sort the 13 tiles in the 30 available tile space is
30!/(30-13)!
=30!/17!
=7.4574708e+17
Now note that 1.0458433e+27 is a much much larger number than 7.4574708e+17
Hence it is unlikely he/she would have got a bingo
By this quote I am assuming he means that the Bingo could have occured anytime and playing till 19 boxesRaging Bull wrote:
tbh im more impressed how kai has 19 boxes but no bingo
No, mathematicians don't debatekai99 wrote:
i take IB HL Maths and it's a nightmare but i still suck at math.
wtf
is the bingo becoming a math debate?
Blitzfrog wrote:
I hope you know binomial distribution abraker
I wrote it in latex form doeRailey2 wrote:
i want to take a look at this
but
guys pls
kai99 wrote:
so, .. ... why do i not have a bingo yet?
Solve this for your probabilitykai99 wrote:
so, .. ... why do i not have a bingo yet?
30 choose 13 is all possible arrangements given a win. Ok.Blitzfrog wrote:
Blitzmeth
Only at school, hence school math since school is mental abuse to humanMeah wrote:
fuck math, mental abuse to humans
And the division by 36 choose 19?Blitzfrog wrote:
Depending on what you're trying to calculate though. The multiplying by 12 is constant through out because there are only 12 ways you can win given any arrangement. But there are also the fact that there isn't only 12 ways to win with 19 tiles as the remaining 19-6 =13 tiles can be placed anywhere. That's why I multiplied the 12 with the fraction, not that you wouldn't know.
Yep which is why I used binomial distribution to work this outabraker wrote:
30 choose 13 is all possible arrangements given a win. Ok.Blitzfrog wrote:
Blitzmeth
Still wrapping my head around the multiplication by 12. A potential error in my method is that my math is a solution for where there are 6 tiles in one constant position for any possible win cases.
The following made realize a definite mistake I let happen:The 36 choose 19 is wrong. Well technically correct, but according to the rules, it's wrong. In no possible scenario are there 36 places where 19 tiles can be arranged in any position. It should be 36-6 choose 19 because there can be a max 30 unlocked tiles before a Bingo prohibits any more being unlocked (a case where there are no unlocked tiles in any diagonal).
Now that I think about it, it's a bit more complicated than that. You need to subtract 36 choose 19 by the number of scenarios prohibited due to a 2nd and 3rd six in a row.
Yep you're right it isabraker wrote:
And the division by 36 choose 19?
This one is impossible:
Ah I see now. I was aiming for calculating if there was a bingo already, not that the next tile would be one.Blitzfrog wrote:
Yep you're right it isabraker wrote:
And the division by 36 choose 19?
This one is impossible:
But that is not in what I was calculating. What I was calculating was the chance for the 19TH call to be the bingo. Which means to find out the cumulative chance you need to find the probability of winning at the 6th call, 7th call... to 19th call and add(not multiply) them all together.
Now why the cumulative chance is because the quote states that he is impressed by the fact that Kai doesn't have a BINGO, which means the bingo could have happened anytime prior to 19 if you interpret it that way
Which is what I called the cumulative probability. I didn't calculate it but I wrote the way to calculate it on a piece of paper and posted it here, somewhere above. It's for 22 though.abraker wrote:
Ah I see now. I was aiming for calculating if there was a bingo already, not that the next tile would be one.
I should figure out using the stuff I've done to see which one it is lelabraker wrote:
updated
kai is so close to winning I'd start placing bets on when it's gonna happen
Sigh.. I will overlook your "deez nutz chin" thing and the other thing I already forgot and the unauthorized meta manipulation to have you join my club.Blitzfrog wrote:
Which is what I called the cumulative probability. I didn't calculate it but I wrote the way to calculate it on a piece of paper and posted it here, somewhere above. It's for 22 though.
I think you just missed out on some variable with your equation that's all. Never the less my first attempt wasn't even close LOL
Oh, short lived join. Rest in pepperonisBlitzfrog wrote:
Abraker is a dick that's why
And this is why you read warning labels. Please don't be like Blitzfrog and lock yourself out of your own club.Blitzfrog wrote:
Why join abraker's club when I have my own 0 member club?
give me the privileges