dNextGen wrote:
i dont think anyone in osu! has ever done horrific things except jacking off to 2D drawings (or even furies eww)
The following estimation doesn't consider gang-violence and war. With those, the number would be higher.
First off, we assume that only 1/3 of these accounts are actually valid. I just calculate with 6 million*1/3, because thats easier. You can calculate for every value you like though, the final percentage will be at the bottom.
Next, lets look at the rate of murders per 100000 people.
http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/VC.IHR.PSRC.P5The US stands at 5 per 100k, while china, korea and Japan are very very low. Then we have a whole lot of european countries, that altogether average at maybe 2. Russia and Brazil that make up a good part of the playerbase, have 10 and 20 as average per 100k. Poor countries have higher rates, and those add up a lot here.
https://osu.ppy.sh/p/countryrankingSumma summarum, I'd estimate a total average rate of 3.5 murders per 100k people.
MAL has a 1:1.4 female:male rate. Since this game is heavily influenced by anime, I'll assume a similar rate here. I make it 1:1.5 for easier calculation.
This means that we can take off another 1/3 of our assumed murderer-quantity (most women that murder are actually murdering their own children. And yeah we barely have women with children here, look at the polls that follow). +1 for the one mother that murdered her child.
the userbase here is pretty damn young, I'd estimate that the average user here is about 16. (note, this is not the median, its the arithmetic mean)
http://strawpoll.me/3938943/rhttp://poll.pollcode.com/21449825_result?vAssuming that the there'll be very very few murders before the age of 16, and also given that we already subtracted females, we can take off another 1/4*2/3 (males age 16 and below). - 1/6.
and +1 for that one 15 year old who snapped.
Serial murderers make up below 1% of all murderers, so they are practically negligible. For the sake of it, I subtract 1 off the total value to do them justice.
So, where does this leave us?
2 million people, assumed rate of 3.5 murderers per 100k. That leaves us with a total of 70 murderers.
-1/6 & -1/3 for females and males of age 16 & younger leaves us with just 35.
now we add 2 for the one 15 year old that snapped and 1 for the 1 mother that snapped. Then we subtract 1 for the serial killer who killed 2 this year.
this leaves us with a total number of 36 murderers. OSU MURDERERS(0.0018%)