forum

Accuracy when dealing with HR/OD10/DT

posted
Total Posts
58
show more
koromo

Full Tablet wrote:

I'm curious, have you tested in maps without sliders/spinners?
According to the calculations 48.15% of the objects in the map have to be sliders/spinners to achieve an expected accuracy like that.
I can't really even think of any map without sliders tbh, so pretty sure I haven't.

edit:
Almost

Full Tablet wrote:

koromo wrote:

OP: I think unstable rate 140 should give at least 93% though, as opposed to FullTablet's calculation of 86.5%. This is based off my own experience as a HR player but I realize it can differ from person to person.
I'm curious, have you tested in maps without sliders/spinners?
According to the calculations 48.15% of the objects in the map have to be sliders/spinners to achieve an expected accuracy like that.
I'm pretty sure your unstable rate would be lower when playing AR10 since you have a reduced window of visibility of the circle so the OP's unstable rate might be in the range of 110-120 (just estimating) but there are also factors like playing the map based more on reaction time then with the music if AR10 is fast for you which might even out the unstable rate.
Full Tablet

koromo wrote:

Full Tablet wrote:

I'm curious, have you tested in maps without sliders/spinners?
According to the calculations 48.15% of the objects in the map have to be sliders/spinners to achieve an expected accuracy like that.
I can't really even think of any map without sliders tbh, so pretty sure I haven't.

edit:
For that specific map and unstable rate, according to the model you would have got 91.23%acc. (But that without considering if your sliders are less precise than your circles).

If Unstable Rate was separated between Circle Unstable rate and Slider Unstable rate it would be easier to check if the model is right (for example, checking if normal distribution is good or if it is better to use another kind of distribution).
JAKACHAN
If you want the best advice in this situation. Just play it and find out. I usually get a lot higher unstable rate when playing NOMOD but have gotten as low at 65 unstable rate playing Hard Rock. Don't try to base your skill off of a silly number in game just try it and find out.

Listening to all these people tell you what unstable rate you should play HR at or whether or not you can do it or not yet and what you can expect is just plain dumb.
thelewa

JAKACHAN wrote:

If you want the best advice in this situation. Just play it and find out. I usually get a lot higher unstable rate when playing NOMOD but have gotten as low at 65 unstable rate playing Hard Rock. Don't try to base your skill off of a silly number in game just try it and find out.

Listening to all these people tell you what unstable rate you should play HR at or whether or not you can do it or not yet and what you can expect is just plain dumb.
^^^^^^^^

everything that JAKA said is true, seconded by yours truly
Tanzklaue
unstable rate and hit error don't say jackshit about the accuracy you will get. you can have a super good unstable rate below 100 or even 80 and still get 100s on OD 8. vice versa, you can get really good accuracies upt to almost SS or SS on OD 10 with unstable rates just at 100 or slightly above it, if you hit many circles just at the border to a 100.

also you could theoretically get a SS on OD 9.8 but only 33.33% on OD 10 if you hit all the notes in the thin timing window inbetween those 2. and all that doesn't even include things like slidermisses or actual misses (fun fact: clearing a map with no fail and just hitting one circle will result in unstable rate 0,00).

in the end, you should not worry about unstable rate and hit error and such things all too much. what matters in the end is the actual accuracy, and if you get a SS, it will be a SS no matter what unstable rate you have or what others say which unstable rate results in which accuracy.
lolcubes

Tanzklaue wrote:

unstable rate and hit error don't say jackshit about the accuracy you will get. you can have a super good unstable rate below 100 or even 80 and still get 100s on OD 8. vice versa, you can get really good accuracies upt to almost SS or SS on OD 10 with unstable rates just at 100 or slightly above it, if you hit many circles just at the border to a 100.

also you could theoretically get a SS on OD 9.8 but only 33.33% on OD 10 if you hit all the notes in the thin timing window inbetween those 2. and all that doesn't even include things like slidermisses or actual misses (fun fact: clearing a map with no fail and just hitting one circle will result in unstable rate 0,00).

in the end, you should not worry about unstable rate and hit error and such things all too much. what matters in the end is the actual accuracy, and if you get a SS, it will be a SS no matter what unstable rate you have or what others say which unstable rate results in which accuracy.
Theoretically, yes. In practice, no.

You do have a point though. Stop caring about them statistics and start playing. :D
Frostmourne
I use unstable rate just to scope which way I should adjust a local offset that comfortable to me for each song :D
other than that is just being cool when it's under 100 at least
winber1
i don't even look at unstable rate. when i see that my accuracy sucks i just rage and leave nonetheless
Sync

winber1 wrote:

i don't even look at unstable rate. when i see that my accuracy sucks i just rage and leave nonetheless
I have to look at it every time for my ego
Ekaru

pooptartsonas wrote:

I think for something like accuracy in osu!, it won't really follow a normal distribution because making a mistake leads to an outlier. Even assuming perfect reading, humans will still screw up, whether that's due to nervousness, strain on fingers, or whatever else. Perhaps outliers are already accounted for, but I would guess that it will follow a roughly normal distribution centered closer to perfect timing with a fair amount of points that are severely mistimed. This is mostly coming from my experience, because my unstable rates on HDHR are usually around 85-90 (when I'm really comfortable with the map), and most of my 100s come from when I can feel myself making a mistake.
Outliers are accounted for in normal distributions as long as they occur both above and below the mean at reasonable (AKA low) rates, which is how it works for most people in osu!.
Topic Starter
Dexus
I didn't care for the unstable rate and numbers anyways, I was just curious as to how accurate you have to really be in order to hit stuff. I played and hard rock isn't nearly as hard as I thought it was. Playing a lot of DT helps and also having a correct UO helps in massive amounts. The test build has a great hit error rate bar that helped me adjust my UO to be perfect. I just hope it gets implemented soon.

Thanks guys for the information. This is all very helpful.
Winshley
Need to note that HalfTime and DoubleTime/Nightcore mods may decrease and increase your Unstable Rate along with improves and worsen your Hit Error respectively, because those speed-adjusting mods aren't considered toward the Hit Error and Unstable Rate.

Hit Error is showing average of early hit timings and late hit timings separately. The minus value averages your early hits, while the plus value averages your late hits. This doesn't show your peak hit error, and since it averages your timing instead, the more circles and sliders are involved, the approximation is less accurate. Take an extreme case example: there's a map with 2,000 circles, and you hit -101ms on just one circle while the remaining 1,999 circles are magically hit at -1ms all the time, and there's no late timings at all (HAAAAX! xD). The result of this Hit Error is -1.05ms ~ +0.00ms, yet you can still see that the 300/100/50 result is 1999/1/0.

Unstable Rate also averages your timing as well, but rather than based on the 0ms point, it's based on your overall hit window. Taking the same extreme case example again, you get -100ms all the time on the same map above. The result of 300/100/50 is 0/2000/0 with Unstable Rate of 0.00!

Of course those extreme cases are very far away from being likely to happen anyway, but this also proves that Hit Error and Unstable Rate should be taken as statistical purposes and not as an accurate measurement of skill. ;)

JAKACHAN wrote:

Just play it and find out.
pooptartsonas

Ekaru wrote:

pooptartsonas wrote:

I think for something like accuracy in osu!, it won't really follow a normal distribution because making a mistake leads to an outlier. Even assuming perfect reading, humans will still screw up, whether that's due to nervousness, strain on fingers, or whatever else. Perhaps outliers are already accounted for, but I would guess that it will follow a roughly normal distribution centered closer to perfect timing with a fair amount of points that are severely mistimed. This is mostly coming from my experience, because my unstable rates on HDHR are usually around 85-90 (when I'm really comfortable with the map), and most of my 100s come from when I can feel myself making a mistake.
Outliers are accounted for in normal distributions as long as they occur both above and below the mean at reasonable (AKA low) rates, which is how it works for most people in osu!.
Yeah but in osu!, pretty much all the outliers will lead to 100s on a high OD because outliers will often be the result of nervousness where the player completely mistimes a note in the heat of the moment. I just don't think unstable rate can properly predict accuracy because someone who has perfect accuracy under normal conditions could still mistime notes due to stress.
Full Tablet

pooptartsonas wrote:

Ekaru wrote:

Outliers are accounted for in normal distributions as long as they occur both above and below the mean at reasonable (AKA low) rates, which is how it works for most people in osu!.
Yeah but in osu!, pretty much all the outliers will lead to 100s on a high OD because outliers will often be the result of nervousness where the player completely mistimes a note in the heat of the moment. I just don't think unstable rate can properly predict accuracy because someone who has perfect accuracy under normal conditions could still mistime notes due to stress.
Mistimed notes due to stress increase the Unstable Rate too.
GoldenWolf
Unstable rate only tell how unstable you are. You can, for example, constantly drift from -17 to +17, thus SSing OD10 but also having ridiculously high unstable rate
You can't say which accuracy you should get with xxx.xx unstable rate
Full Tablet

GoldenWolf wrote:

Unstable rate only tell how unstable you are. You can, for example, constantly drift from -17 to +17, thus SSing OD10 but also having ridiculously high unstable rate
You can't say which accuracy you should get with xxx.xx unstable rate
Unstable Rate can help to tell what accuracy you should expect, with a certain probability.

It's analogous to something like this: You have a die with 10 sides (each side marked A,B,C,etc...), so with 1000 throws, the expected number of times you get an A is 100 times (but of course there will be some variation, and the probability of getting EXACTLY 100 times an A is very low).

There are some things you can know for sure, though. For example, if your average hit error is exactly 0 (this isn't shown in the results screen), you pressed each object (managed to at least click each object while on the MISS time frame), and your Unstable Rate is 100, then the worst possible accuracy you can get in OD11 (in the worst case scenario) is 30.55%; and if the Unstable Rate is 60 then the worst possible accuracy you can get is 75% (knowing this doesn't actually help in anything though).

Similarly, if your average hit error is 0, and your unstable rate is below 12.0605, you will always get a SS in any map under 100 circles/sliders (if you also complete the slider paths correctly, and the spinners). With unstable rate under 1.69723, you will always get a SS in maps with up to 5000 circles/sliders (if you also complete the sliders paths and spinners correctly).
JAKACHAN

Full Tablet wrote:

GoldenWolf wrote:

Unstable Rate can help to tell what accuracy you should expect, with a certain probability.
I've SS'd with 140 unstable rate I've SS'd with 65 unstable rate.

Once again do not judge what you should have through numbers. Just play and find out yourself.




Trying to put numbers on everything starts to complicates things and just adds more stress to something that should be a fun game to begin with people.
Full Tablet

JAKACHAN wrote:

Trying to put numbers on everything starts to complicates things and just adds more stress to something that should be a fun game to begin with people.
Well, some people like numbers.
GoldenWolf
You quoted me wrong JAKACHAN ;_;
Genshin

Kert wrote:


X means no-mod
so basically, adding hr would be the same between 8~10? it doesn't seem at all. ex in Gensou no satellite (od9) is way harder keeping a good acc rate rather than airman (od8).
koromo

Genshin wrote:

so basically, adding hr would be the same between 8~10? it doesn't seem at all. ex in Gensou no satellite (od9) is way harder keeping a good acc rate rather than airman (od8).
HR increases OD and AR by 40% and it caps at 10. So both OD8 and OD9 become OD10 after adding HR, OD7 becomes OD9.8.
thelewa


let's see how many people freak about the necrobump instead of realizing what I'm trying to say
Full Tablet

thelewa wrote:

let's see how many people freak about the necrobump instead of realizing what I'm trying to say
Is that OD10 or OD9?
If that is OD9 it seems that the offset is wrong.
silmarilen
or he's having trouble keeping up with the map
winber1
thelewa needs to teach me the art of accuracy

so i can be #1
thelewa

Full Tablet wrote:

thelewa wrote:

let's see how many people freak about the necrobump instead of realizing what I'm trying to say
Is that OD10 or OD9?
If that is OD9 it seems that the offset is wrong.
OD10

I also had runs where I had 1x100 with the same unstable rate

unstable rate is a poor measurement for accuracy if used alone, since it only measures how constant your clicks are. You could get all 100's and still have like, 59 unstable rate.
Full Tablet

thelewa wrote:

OD10

I also had runs where I had 1x100 with the same unstable rate

unstable rate is a poor measurement for accuracy if used alone, since it only measures how constant your clicks are. You could get all 100's and still have like, 59 unstable rate.
Well, the expected unstable rate for that accuracy in that map (with OD10) is 88.0688, not very far from the unstable rate you really got. The expected unstable rate for getting 1x100 is 62.3514 (that means, if the errors follow a normal distribution, with that unstable rate, there is 50% chance you get at least 99.85%acc, with a slight probable deviation from 99.85%).

The thing is, the calculation is a ESTIMATION that helps linking unstable rate to accuracy (the calculation assumes the average timing error is 0, assumes normal distribution of hit errors). It's possible to get all 100's with 59 unstable rate, but it is very improbable (it would only likely happen in situations where you intentionally set your offset to a very wrong value).

Even if the calculation assumptions are right, there is an expected deviation from the mean for the results. For example: You can play that song 1000 times, every time with a unstable rate of 90, with different results each time (50% of the time it will be below 97.067%, 50% of the time above 97.067%, the median accuracy in those plays would be 97.067%) (this is not considering deviation in the unstable rate itself, of course).
JAKACHAN
Where do you people even get these numbers? "Expected unstable rate?" you just made that up lol...

People are taking this game way to serious nowadays.
thelewa
Where are you pulling this from

edit: LOL JAKA NICE NINJA
Ekaru

JAKACHAN wrote:

Where do you people even get these numbers? "Expected unstable rate?" you just made that up lol...

People are taking this game way to serious nowadays.
He's likely applying statistical analysis to the mathematical formulas (not sure if he has the exact formula for the unstable rate or if he's estimating it, though). For example, the timings of a player's hits will usually resemble a normal distribution (excluding misses). There's an astounding amount of shit you can do with such normal distributions. And yes, there are ways to account for that one hit that was waaaaaaay off.

EDIT: And and and and and yes, you could use the formulas to create an "Expected unstable rate" if you were some sort of mathematical genius and had plenty of time on your hands. I'm not, though.
JAKACHAN

Ekaru wrote:

EDIT: And and and and and yes, you could use the formulas to create an "Expected unstable rate" if you were some sort of mathematical genius and had plenty of time on your hands. I'm not, though.
And neither is he. If you are going to provide evidence about any of this you shouldn't use a your own calculation or treat it like you know what you are doing.
Luna
Unstable rate is most likely just standard deviation, which has a known formula and is easily analysed by maths software.
Of course this is just an assumption, but it would make sense.
ScarletFrost
Why do math when u can play OSU! -_-
GoldenWolf

ScarletFrost wrote:

Why do math when u can play OSU! -_-
What is OSU! ?
I only know osu!
And osu! is serious business.
Full Tablet
When I asked woc2006 how was Unstable Rate calculated, he said it was Standard Deviation. By looking at the numbers it usually gives, I think he meant standard deviation of the hit errors measured in tenths of a millisecond (so 100 Unstable Rate means 10ms of standard deviation).

Now, assuming that the hit errors follow a Normal Distribution, and the average errors are zero, for a certain standard deviation there is a probability for each hit to have an error with a magnitude less than A (where A is the time leniency for getting a 300, it depends on OD, it is 18ms for OD10).

Now, estimating the amounts of 300s and 100s in circles given a certain accuracy and number of circles:
Number of 100s: C = Circles*(3/2)*(1-Acc)
Number of 300s: T = Circles - C
(Note that this estimation only considers 300s and 100s; plays with 50s and Misses would be calculated as having a non-integer amount of 300s and 100s, which should be fine as an approximation in plays where most hits are 300s and 100s).

Now, calculate the "probability of getting a 300" that each hit has to have to have a median amount of 300s equal to the amount of 300s in the play. The amount of 300s in this case would follow a binomial distribution, and using the inverse regularized beta function to get the probability: (Mathematica Syntax)
Probability:

Now that we have the probability of getting a 300 each hit, using the inverse error function would allow to calculate the expected standard deviation of the hits in the normal distribution:

Where A is measured in tenths of milliseconds if the standard deviation calculated corresponds to Unstable Rate.

Also, for plays that have sliders and spinners, assuming that all sliders and spinners are 300s, calculate the "Circle Accuracy" of the play:

Circle Accuracy gives a better estimation than shown accuracy for the previous formulas (still not as good as the estimations obtained in a map with only circles though)
Aqo
I demand a gorgeous excel table for this.
Full Tablet

Aqo wrote:

I demand a gorgeous excel table for this.
http://www.mediafire.com/download/k1zw8 ... _Rate.xlsx
winber1
that was not gorgeous at all
Aqo
I kinda like it, it's nice. gj
show more
Please sign in to reply.

New reply