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Surprise survey
Woo!
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![]() Slider Savant 90 posts |
Queue this song: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ffqB7whd ... annel_page
*Echo, the lone survivor, lead a successful quiet life, as the leader of the mafia. His reign of terror had no end. Even after his death, his legend lived on. Echo's happy life came at the cost of four others... but we're okay with that. We made a legend here.* *BAD END 1* My thought process is like a Train on a train track shaped like a spider web. With portals.
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Echo wrote: If Pasonia was scum, he would have claimed I was guilty on D1 since he wasn't aware of the cop setup. This is pretty much conclusive evidence that Pasonia was town. WIFOM. Echo wrote: To be honest, some of Pasonia's points truly are illogical. But most aren't, you just aren't that good at getting your points across. Yup. Pas needs to work on communication. Not your fault, Pas... you just gotta work at it. |
![]() Rhythm Rookie 0 posts |
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Echo wrote: strager: not WIFOM You can tell Pasonia really didn't know how the sanity thing worked. In that case, if he was scum there was no reason for him to claim I was innocent since there were already 2 guilty claims on me. He would either not make a claim, or play along and claim I was guilty. But his post claiming I was innocent means he was definitely what he claimed to be. If Pasonia claimed Cop and you Guilty, that'd be three guilties on one person. Two Innocents would pop up, so that means one of SFG, 0_o, and Pasonia is the Mafia. SFG, being the first claim, is much less likely to be the Mafia. If she were the Mafia, her claim could be used to make people think she is looking for the Mafia by making herself vulernable and showing a Guilty result. However, if she didn't die the next day, and her claim wasn't confirmed by other Cops, she'd be an easy target. SFG's not that stupid. (Some holes in this here argument I am guessing, but I'm too lazy to cover them.) It's pretty much happened with you. You could have squeezed in your claim between Pasonia's and adam's, though, instead of saying "adam will claim Cop and Innocent on me" then later using his claim and result as a reason for him being a Mafia. Take my survey guise. |
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Echo wrote: That's not true. Anyone other than SFG and 0_o could have been scum. That's why if Pasonia was mafia he wouldn't have claimed I was innocent. Since he did just that, he's proven townie. If Pasonia was mafia, he would have posted a guilty investigation which basically means he *must* be scum, or he would have waited until later before posting or posted without a claim. Uh, what? I'm not seeing your logic. On Day 1, there are five claims if everyone investigated you: two Guilty, two Innocent, one Guilty or Innocent. If there are three of one of the results, one of the three who found that result is guilty. This assumes everyone (except the Mafia) is truthful about their claim. Townies do not have a reason to lie. (You kinda messed that up, Echo. ;P) I this case, there were two Guilties and three Innocents. Thus, the Mafia could have killed both Guilties. Otherwise, some players are logically eliminated as being Mafia (as was the case with 0_o). Echo was, I assume, trying to get (1) a quick lynch, and (2) only one target to focus on for Day 2. If 0_o was active enough, he could have examined with Echo and Pasonia and questioned both of them. Why would a Townie lie about their role? This is, I believe, the most major tell against Echo. By logical analysis, it is shown that: If Pasonia was Mafia, 0_o is Insane or Paranoid, SFG is Insane or Paranoid, adam is Naive, and Echo is Sane. If Echo was Mafia, Pasonia is Insane, 0_o is Paranoid, SFG is Sane, and adam is Naive. If 0_o was Mafia, Pasonia is Sane or Naive, SFG is Insane or Paranoid, adam is Sane or Naive, and Echo is Sane or Naive. This clears 0_o too. It also shows that Echo and Pasonia are both possible Mafia. I'm not sure if the indeterminant state of the Cop sanities in the possiblity of Pasonia being Mafia could be used to shift the probability of Echo being the Mafia up, though, so this doesn't tell us much more than what we know. |
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![]() osu! Alumni 1,258 posts |
We lost.
And it's solely your fault 0_o I gave you a good case and pointed out the most glaring of contradictions only to have you vote me, fucker, based on a stupid bias. Not going to work the survey out because I'm pissed at having to write three hours' total worth of wall of texts just to LOSE the fucking game to someone's biasedness. I don't take such losses kindly thank you very much. ![]() Pasonia's Hamachi channel for Touhou (Asia-Pacific) Host of the concluded third osu! forums Werewolf Game (rebooted) Student at Nanyang Polytechnic, Singapore 夢見てる? なにも見てない? 語るも無駄な 自分の言葉 悲しむなんて 疲れるだけよ 何も感じず 過ごせばいいの Not available at the moment due to schoolwork. ![]() 13/05/2012 - RIP Danzai, may you be among the constellations. |
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